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. 2015 Jul 17;61(10):1573–1581. doi: 10.1093/cid/civ569

Table 2.

Risk of Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 2 or Greater (CIN-2+) After 3 or 5 Years of Follow-up, and Its Relationship With Oncogenic Human Papillomavirus Detection at Baseline in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-Infected and HIV-Uninfected Women With a Normal Baseline Pap Resulta

Characteristic 3 y HR (95% CI) P Value 5 y HR (95% CI) P Value
HPV status
 OncHPV negative Reference Reference
 OncHPV positive 6.4 (3.1–12.9) <.0001 5.3 (2.9–9.4) <.0001
Year of enrollment
 1994–1995 Reference Reference
 2001–2002 1.1 (.5–2.3) .8 1.0 (.5–1.8) .9
CD4 count (HIV+)
 HIV Reference Reference
 >500 cells/µL 3.2 (1.1–9.4) .04 2.3 (1.0–5.1) .05
 350–500 cells/µL 2.2 (.6–7.4) .2 1.8 (.7–4.5) .2
 <350 cells/µL 4.9 (1.6–15.4) .01 3.0 (1.3–7.1) .01
Age at baseline (continuous) 0.9 (.9–1.0) .005 0.9 (.9–1.0) .003
Race
 Black Reference Reference
 Hispanic 1.6 (.7–3.4) .3 1.1 (.6–2.2) .7
 White 0.2 (.0–1.6) .1 0.3 (.1–1.0) .1
 Other 2.3 (.6–8.2) .2 2.1 (.7–6.1) .2
Smoking
 Never Reference Reference
 Past 1.7 (.6–4.4) .3 1.2 (.5–3.0) .7
 Current 1.1 (.5–2.5) .8 1.5 (.8–2.9) .2
Lifetime No. of male sexual partners
 <5 Reference Reference
 5–9 1.5 (.5–4.4) .4 1.2 (.5–2.8) .7
 10–49 2.0 (.7–5.4) .2 1.6 (.7–3.6) .2
 ≥50 1.4 (.4–4.6) .6 0.9 (.3–2.3) .8

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; HPV, human papillomavirus; HR, hazard ratio; OncHPV; oncogenic human papillomavirus.

a In secondary data analysis, we observed similar results when incorporating nonparametric splines in the Cox model; that is, the average HRs after 3 or 5 years of follow-up, as measured using the area under the curve, were similar to those presented in the tables, and no statistically significant departures from proportionality were detected.