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. 2015 Oct 22;8:529. doi: 10.1186/s13071-015-1144-3

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© Gurarie et al. 2015

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 6 — Egg prevalence projected in a 10 year MDA treatment simulation. Panel a shows the ensemble of estimated egg count-based prevalence values for 20 virtual communities throughout a 10 year treatment period of annual community-wide MDA. The median prevalence estimate is shown by the thick line, and the 25–75 % quantiles are indicated by the gray envelope; Panel b shows the corresponding estimates of worm-based prevalence, adjusting for the insensitivity and random components of egg counting; Panel c purple bars show the likely range of prevalence values for 9–12 year olds in 25 simulated villages in surveys performed before each of 4 yearly treatments (purple) in a SCORE-like program. Comparison to actual observed data from the SCORE Mozambique project is shown in yellow