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. 2015 Oct 22;8:529. doi: 10.1186/s13071-015-1144-3

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© Gurarie et al. 2015

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 7 — Heat map of the long term program duration (mean T ) required to reach ≤ 2 % Schistosoma prevalence. Two control strategies (CWT and SBT) are compared for typical Kenyan villages. Panel (a) show T(f _C, τ) map for a high-risk (80 % baseline prevalence) treated with CWT; (b) lower risk village (30 % baseline prevalence) treated with SBT. The color scale in the center indicates the number of years needed to reach local Schistosoma infection prevalence of ≤ 2 %, as determined by egg-count diagnostics. The darkest color indicates the target will be reached in 5 years or fewer, the lightest color indicates the target is not reached in 30+ years of intervention. In both cases, long term simulations take into account predicted population growth for Kenya [34]