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. 2015 May 5;212(10):1613–1617. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiv259

Table 1.

Factors Associated With Detectable Penile HSV-2 Shedding Through 6 Weeks After MC Among 176 HIV-Infected Men in Rakai, Ugandaa

Factor Post-MC Visits With HSV Shedding/ Total Post-MC Visits, No. (%) PRR (95% CI) P Value aPRR (95% CI) P Value
Overall 80/781 (10.2)
Age, y
 15–29 29/238 (12.2) 1.00 (Ref) 1.00 (Ref)
 30–39 34/378 (10.3) 0.73 (.39–1.35) .31 0.76 (.42–1.40) .38
 ≥40 17/165 (9.0) 0.84 (.39–1.85) .67 0.90 (.40–2.40) .80
Genital ulcer disease within 30 d before MC
 No 63/671 (9.4) 1.00 (Ref) 1.00 (Ref)
 Yes 17/110 (15.5) 1.60 (.88–2.94) .13 1.57 (.89–2.74) .13
Certified healed wound
 No 57/475 (12.0) 1.00 (Ref) 1.00 (Ref)
 Yes 22/288 (7.6) 0.61 (.36–1.06) .08 0.62 (.35–1.08) .09
Resumed sexb
 No 65/627 (10.4) 1.00 (Ref)
 Yes 15/136 (11.0) 0.91 (.51–1.63) .76
Presurgical penile HSV-2 shedding
 No 68/707 (9.6) 1.00 (Ref) 1.00 (Ref)
 Yes 12/74 (16.2) 1.75 (.86–3.62) .12 1.77 (.95–3.32) .07
Postsurgical penile HIV shedding
 No 69/674 (10.2) 1.00 (Ref) 1.00 (Ref)
 Yes 11/104 (10.6) 1.07 (.61–1.88) .82 0.89 (.49–1.60) .82
Presurgical CD4+ T-cell count, cells/µL
 >600 28/300 (9.3) 1.00 (Ref)
 200–500 43/378 (11.4) 1.19 (.64–2.18) .58 1.20 (.63–2.27) .58
 <200 9/103 (8.7) 0.92 (.41–2.05) .84 0.96 (.41–2.22) .84
Plasma HIV load, copies/mLb
 <400 (undetectable) 16/175 (9.1) 1.00 (Ref)
 400–9999 22/144 (15.3) 1.35 (.63–2.90) .44
 10 000–49 999 10/168 (6.0) 0.63 (.24–1.63) .34
 >50 000 31/259 (12.0) 1.25 (.61–2.57) .55
Self-reported ART and plasma HIV load
 ART naive 70/643 (10.9) 1.00 (Ref) 1.00 (Ref)
 ART but detectable HIV load 4/41 (9.8) 0.87 (.31–2.45) .80 1.04 (.38–2.79) .94
 ART and suppressed HIV load 6/97 (6.2) 0.57 (.21–1.54) .27 0.64 (.22–1.87) .41

Abbreviations: aPRR, adjusted prevalence risk ratio; ART, antiretroviral therapy; CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; HSV-2, herpes simplex virus type 2; MC, male circumcision; PRR, prevalence risk ratio; Ref, reference standard.

a Wound healing, resumption of sex, plasma HIV load, and postsurgical penile HIV shedding were assessed as time-varying factors at the same visit as penile HSV-2 shedding. All other factors were measured at the presurgical visit.

b Resumption of sex and plasma HIV load were not included in the adjusted model because of collinearity (ie, high correlation) with wound healing and ART/plasma HIV load status variables, respectively.