Table 4.
Biomarker | ROC–Based Discrimination Measures | PPV | NPV | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC (95% CI)a | AUC P Value | Sensitivity | Specificity | |||
AR | ||||||
CXCL10 | 74.4 (68.1 to 80.8) | <0.001 | 59.0 | 83.3 | 57.5 | 84.1 |
CXCL10:Cr | 76.1 (70.0 to 82.2) | <0.001 | 65.4 | 76.4 | 51.5 | 85.2 |
CXCL9 | 71.6 (64.9 to 78.2) | <0.001 | 58.4 | 84.5 | 59.2 | 84.1 |
CXCL9:Cr | 71.2 (63.7 to 78.7) | <0.001 | 63.6 | 78.0 | 52.7 | 84.8 |
TCMR | ||||||
CXCL10 | 72.6 (56.9 to 88.2) | <0.01 | 60.0 | 79.3 | 12.5 | 97.6 |
CXCL10:Cr | 79.9 (67.7 to 92.2) | <0.001 | 70.0 | 76.4 | 12.7 | 98.1 |
CXCL9 | 85.7 (73.8 to 97.7) | <0.001 | 80.0 | 87.0 | 23.5 | 98.9 |
CXCL9:Cr | 90.5 (84.0 to 97.1) | <0.001 | 90.0 | 84.0 | 22.0 | 99.4 |
All ABMR | ||||||
CXCL10 | 74.7 (68.0 to 81.4) | <0.001 | 60.3 | 83.3 | 54.7 | 86.2 |
CXCL10:Cr | 75.5 (69.0 to 82.1) | <0.001 | 64.7 | 77.3 | 48.9 | 86.7 |
CXCL9 | 69.4 (62.3 to 76.6) | <0.001 | 55.2 | 84.5 | 54.4 | 84.9 |
CXCL9:Cr | 68.3 (60.0 to 76.5) | <0.001 | 59.7 | 78.0 | 47.6 | 85.2 |
Mixed rejection | ||||||
CXCL10 | 80.0 (71.3 to 88.7) | <0.001 | 74.2 | 83.3 | 40.4 | 95.5 |
CXCL10:Cr | 81.9 (73.9 to 89.8) | <0.001 | 77.4 | 78.3 | 35.3 | 95.8 |
CXCL9 | 78.0 (68.2 to 87.8) | <0.001 | 71.0 | 84.5 | 41.5 | 94.9 |
CXCL9:Cr | 77.8 (66.8 to 88.8) | <0.001 | 71.0 | 84.5 | 41.5 | 94.9 |
Pure ABMR | ||||||
CXCL10 | 70.2 (61.5 to 79.0) | <0.001 | 73.0 | 61.6 | 25.7 | 92.6 |
CXCL10:Cr | 70.2 (61.4 to 79.0) | <0.001 | 67.6 | 62.1 | 24.5 | 91.3 |
CXCL9 | 62.1 (53.0 to 71.2) | 0.002 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 25.7 | 89.2 |
CXCL9:Cr | 60.1 (49.1 to 71.1) | 0.03 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 29.0 | 89.7 |
The C statistics, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values (PPVs), and NPVs are shown.
95% CIs were generated by 2000 stratified bootstrap replicates.