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. 2015 Jul 24;26(11):2621–2633. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2014101017

Table 2.

Decomposition analysis of the change in global dialysis incidence rates and counts from 1990 to 2010 stratified by sex and provision

Stratification According to Dialysis Provision Men Women Total
Global 1990 incidence rate (pmp) 54 (49, 59) 36 (33, 39) 44 (41, 47)
Global 2010 incidence rate (pmp) 112 (107, 116) 76 (73, 79) 93 (90, 95)
Countries with universal maintenance dialysis access
 Year 1990 incident patients 56,020 46,563 102,583
 No. of patients in 2010 expected secondary to population growth 65,417 53,908 119,358
 No. of patients in 2010 expected secondary to population aging 80,753 63,868 143,916
 Year 2010 incident patients 197,478 168,821 366,300
 Percentage change between 1990 and 2010 because of
  Growth 17 16 16
  Aging 27 21 24
  Rate 208 225 217
 Percentage total change, 1990–2010 253 263 257
Countries with partial maintenance dialysis access
 Year 1990 incident patients 52,657 33,217 85,874
 No. of patients in 2010 expected secondary to population growth 63,063 39,308 102,281
 No. of patients in 2010 expected secondary to population aging 84,315 52,574 136,738
 Year 2010 incident patients 146,738 95,585 242,323
 Percentage change between 1990 and 2010 because of
  Growth 20 18 19
  Aging 40 40 40
  Rate 119 130 123
 Percentage total change, 1990–2010 179 188 182

All number sets in parentheses in indicate 95% uncertainty intervals.