Table 5.

Estimates of covariate effects of the transition matrix parameters*; SE: standard errors; LB/UB: lower/upper bound of 95% credible intervals; credible intervals that do not cover 0 are highlighted in boldface. Intervention n=845, control n=897. Upper script “1” and “2” represent coefficients of intervention and age, respectively; lower script “i j” represents transition from i to j. For example, ${\beta }_{12}^1$ is the intervention coefficient for transition 1 to 2, and ${\beta }_{43}^2$ is the age coefficient for transition 4 to 3.

	Intervention Effects						Age Effects
	${\beta }_{12}^1$	${\beta }_{21}^1$	${\beta }_{23}^1$	${\beta }_{32}^1$	${\beta }_{34}^1$	${\beta }_{43}^1$	${\beta }_{12}^2$	${\beta }_{21}^2$	${\beta }_{23}^2$	${\beta }_{32}^2$	${\beta }_{34}^2$	${\beta }_{43}^2$
Mean	0.986	0.281	0.132	−0.269	0.185	−0.118	−0.005	0.018	−0.004	0.002	0.027	−0.004
SE	0.257	0.293	0.144	0.181	0.119	0.157	0.011	0.013	0.006	0.008	0.006	0.007
LB	0.471	−0.274	−0.164	−0.627	−0.051	−0.423	−0.026	−0.007	−0.016	−0.015	0.016	−0.018
UB	1.476	0.852	0.408	0.090	0.420	0.182	0.018	0.044	0.008	0.019	0.039	0.010