Abstract
Study question What is the most safe and effective interventional treatment for coronary in-stent restenosis?
Methods In a hierarchical Bayesian network meta-analysis, PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and major scientific websites were screened up to 10 August 2015. Randomised controlled trials of patients with any type of coronary in-stent restenosis (either of bare metal stents or drug eluting stents; and either first or recurrent instances) were included. Trials including multiple treatments at the same time in the same group or comparing variants of the same intervention were excluded. Primary endpoints were target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss, both at six to 12 months. The main analysis was complemented by network subanalyses, standard pairwise comparisons, and subgroup and sensitivity analyses.
Study answer and limitations Twenty four trials (4880 patients), including seven interventional treatments, were identified. Compared with plain balloons, bare metal stents, brachytherapy, rotational atherectomy, and cutting balloons, drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents were associated with a reduced risk of target lesion revascularisation and major adverse cardiac events, and with reduced late lumen loss. Treatment ranking indicated that drug eluting stents had the highest probability (61.4%) of being the most effective for target lesion vascularisation; drug coated balloons were similarly indicated as the most effective treatment for late lumen loss (probability 70.3%). The comparative efficacy of drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents was similar for target lesion revascularisation (summary odds ratio 1.10, 95% credible interval 0.59 to 2.01) and late lumen loss reduction (mean difference in minimum lumen diameter 0.04 mm, 95% credible interval −0.20 to 0.10). Risks of death, myocardial infarction, and stent thrombosis were comparable across all treatments, but these analyses were limited by a low number of events. Trials had heterogeneity regarding investigation periods, baseline characteristics, and endpoint reporting, with a lack of information at long term follow-up. Direct and indirect evidence was also inconsistent for the comparison between drug eluting stents and drug coated balloons.
What this study adds Compared with other currently available interventional treatments for coronary in-stent restenosis, drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents are associated with superior clinical and angiographic outcomes, with a similar comparative efficacy.
Funding, competing interests, data sharing This study received no external funding. The authors declare no competing interests. No additional data available.
Introduction
Drug eluting stents have substantially reduced the risk of coronary in-stent restenosis and the need for target lesion revascularisation compared with bare metal stents by counteracting the exuberant neointimal proliferation that follows stent implantation.1 However, current rates of in-stent restenosis in clinical practice remain higher than 10%.2 3
Management of patients with in-stent restenosis is challenging and the best therapeutic strategy remains unclear.4 Treatment with plain balloons is technically simple and generally associated with acceptable procedural success, due to axial and longitudinal tissue extrusion and incremental stent expansion.5 However, observational studies and randomised trials have consistently shown inferior clinical and angiographic results compared with implantation of a second drug eluting stent.6 7 8 Nevertheless, plain balloon angioplasty is still used for in-stent restenosis treatment in a consistent proportion of patients.9 10 Furthermore, in-stent implantation of drug eluting stents tends to be restricted to a limited proportion of patients, owing to concerns related to positioning a permanent additional stent layer. Additional layers promote further endothelial growth as well as potential mechanical complications, either acutely or later on (such as fracture, malapposition, thrombosis).4 11
Recently, drug coated balloons have emerged as promising alternatives to drug eluting stents for in-stent restenosis, but large randomised trials comparing drug coated balloons with other therapeutic options are limited.12 13 14 Other treatment options for in-stent restenosis have been used over time with heterogeneous results, including implantation of bare metal stents, vascular brachytherapy, rotational atherectomy, and cutting balloons.4 15
Network meta-analyses are an extension of traditional pairwise meta-analyses that enable the simultaneous pooling of data from clinical trials comparing at least two treatments and strengthen the inference on the relative efficacy of each treatment by including both direct and indirect information.16 17 The objective of this systematic review and hierarchical Bayesian network meta-analysis was to pool data from randomised trials comparing at least two interventional treatments for coronary in-stent restenosis and to identify which strategy is eventually the most effective and safe.
Methods
Data sources and study strategy
This meta-analysis was performed in agreement with the PRISMA (preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses) statement, the PRISMA network meta-analysis extension statement, and the Cochrane Collaboration recommendations (web appendix, PRISMA checklist).18 19 20 Randomised trials comparing at least two different treatments were searched in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect electronic databases, as well as major scientific websites (www.tctmd.com, www.pcronline.com, www.clinicaltrials.gov, www.clinicaltrialresults.org, www.acc.org, www.heart.org, www.medscape.com). Abstracts and presentations from major cardiovascular meetings were considered. The electronic search process was integrated by tangential exploration of bibliography of relevant reviews on in-stent restenosis and major interventional cardiology books.
The web appendix reports the combination of subject headings used for studies identification. No language restriction or filters were imposed. The search was performed from the date of databases’ inception to 10 August 2015.
Selection criteria and study design
Inclusion criteria were the following: randomised controlled trials of patients with coronary in-stent restenosis; patients of any age, sex, ischaemic risk profile, and clinical presentation; either in-stent restenosis of a previously implanted bare metal stent (BMS-ISR) or in-stent restenosis of a previously implanted drug eluting stent (DES-ISR); and either first or recurrent instances of in-stent restenosis. Exclusion criteria were: non-interventional treatment for in-stent restenosis; comparison between variants of the same type of device (same treatment group); and investigations including combinations of multiple treatments in the same group at the same time, except for the use of plain balloons or cutting balloons for lesion preparation before other treatments (that is, brachytherapy or stent implantation).
Coronary in-stent restenosis is classically defined as the angiographic detection of a recurrent stenosis with diameter greater than 50% at the stent segment or its 5 mm adjacent segments (in-segment restenosis). However, some trials have considered only the segment of the implanted stent, without inclusion of proximal and distal edges (in-lesion restenosis).21 In this meta-analysis, we prioritised events related to in-segment restenosis; if they were not available, we included events related to in-lesion restenosis-related events.
The primary clinical endpoint was target lesion revascularisation at six to 12 months, defined as any repeated revascularisation involving the target lesion, both percutaneous and surgical; if target lesion revascularisation was not available, target vessel revascularisation was pooled.22 The primary angiographic endpoint was late lumen loss at six to 12 months, defined as the difference between the minimum lumen diameter after the procedure and at follow-up, as evaluated by quantitative coronary angiography.23 Late lumen loss was designated as a coprimary endpoint, because this angiographic measure is known to be consistent and reliable in discriminating the propensity for restenosis.24
Secondary clinical endpoints were death, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, and combined major adverse cardiac events including death, myocardial infarction, target lesion revascularisation, and stent thrombosis.22 The definition of major adverse cardiac events was modified retrospectively because of the observed heterogeneity across the trials, allowing for the inclusion of target vessel revascularisation instead of target lesion revascularisation. Very dissimilar definitions, however, were not allowed, leading to the exclusion of the corresponding trial from the meta-analysis for major adverse cardiac events. Secondary angiographic endpoints were minimum lumen diameter and binary restenosis at six to 12 months.23
Search and screening of retrieved records at the title and abstract level were independently performed by three reviewers (DG, PA, GG). The same three reviewers assessed full text eligibility of the identified trials and discrepancies were resolved by consensus under the supervision of other two investigators (PC, DC). The validity of the meta-analysis was assessed by qualitative appraisal of study designs and methods before statistical analyses were performed, with the use of the risk of bias tool recommended by the Cochrane Collaboration.20 Data from original reports were collected into specific electronic spreadsheets.
Patient involvement
No patients were involved in setting the research question or the outcome measures, nor were they involved in the design and implementation of the study. There are no plans to involve patients in dissemination.
Statistical analyses
Data used in this meta-analysis were intention to treat. Most of the included trials did not report as treated results. A hierarchical Bayesian network meta-analysis was carried out for each endpoint using random effects consistency models.25 26 27 Briefly, in a network meta-analysis, each study provides an estimate of the study specific treatment effects, which are assumed to be similar and exchangeable (that is, transitivity), deriving from a normal common distribution.28 Each relative treatment effect estimate results from the combination of the direct evidence between the two treatments and the indirect evidence deriving from the network meta-analysis, which are assumed to be coherent.26 29 When a direct connection between two treatments is not available, the effect estimates derives only from indirect evidence.26 29
We used random effects models because they are probably the most appropriate and conservative methodology to account for between-trial heterogeneity within each comparison.29 30 Models were computed with Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations, using three chains with over-dispersed initial values, with Gibbs sampling based on 100 000 iterations after a burn-in phase of 50 000 iterations. Non-informative or vague priors for the overall mean effect (θ ~ N(0, 1002)) and the between-study standard deviation (τ ~ uniform (0, 2)) were given.27 29 31 We evaluated convergence according to Brooks-Gelman-Rubin.32
The information was imputed according to the arm based approach, and modelled by use of binomial data (binomial likelihood, logit link) or sample means (normal likelihood, identity link) with normal distribution, according to the specific type of outcome explored.17 27 We computed posterior mean effect, odds ratio or mean difference, where appropriate, and 95% credible intervals for each comparison. The included treatments were ranked to define the probability associated to each one being the best interventional strategy when significant variations in treatment effect were observed.30 33
We assessed inconsistency by comparing statistics for the deviance information criterion in fitted consistency and inconsistency models, and by contrasting direct evidence with indirect evidence from the entire network on each node (node-split).25 26 27 A Bayesian P value was calculated to estimate the measure of the conflict between direct and indirect evidence by counting the proportion of times the direct treatment effect exceeded the indirect treatment effect.26 The estimates of Bayesian pairwise comparisons were also calculated with results complemented by standard frequentist DerSimonian-Laird meta-analyses with inverse variance weighting.34 In the frequentist framework, the pooled estimates were quantified as summary odds ratios or mean differences, where appropriate, and corresponding 95% confidence intervals.
The amount of the observed variance reflecting real differences in the effect size across the included trials was graded with the Q test and I2 statistic with values representing mild, moderate, and severe heterogeneity (<25%, 25-75%, and >75%, respectively).35 The variance of the true effect size across the included trials (τ²) was calculated.36 We assessed publication bias and small study effect by visual inspection of comparison adjusted and contours enhanced funnel plots complemented by Peters’ and Egger’s tests, where appropriate.36 37 38 39 40
We did subgroup analyses according to the type of restenotic stent (BMS-ISR or DES-ISR), and the generation of drug eluting stent implanted for in-stent restenosis treatment (first or second generation). As another sensitivity analysis, we removed each trial from the others when results suggested the mean effect to be potentially driven by individual studies.36 All analyses were performed using R (version 3.1.1), Stata (version 12.1), and RevMan (version 5.3).
Results
Systematic review and qualitative assessment
A total of 24 trials (n=4880) and seven interventional treatments (plain balloon, drug coated balloon, drug eluting stent, bare metal stent, brachytherapy, rotational atherectomy, and cutting balloon) were included. Figure 1 shows each phase of the screening process, and figure 2 shows the weighted network. The web appendix includes the list of acronyms and identification numbers (www.clinicaltrials.gov) of the trials included in the analysis. Potential sources of bias in trial design and investigational methods graded according to the Cochrane’s Collaboration risk of bias tool (web fig 1) suggested most of the trials to be open label and therefore potentially affected by performance bias.20
Table 1 describes key characteristics of the included studies (design, samples size, treatments, in-stent restenosis definition, follow-up length, and original endpoints). Almost all trials were powered for angiographic endpoints, mainly late lumen loss, and scheduled for angiographic surveillance. Two trials did not plan mid-term angiographic follow-up, and were excluded from all meta-analyses of angiographic endpoints. In about 70% of trials, angiographic follow-up was performed starting from six months after procedure, while 62.5% of trials had planned clinical follow-up at 12 months. Almost 60% of trials included only patients with BMS-ISR, nearly 30% included only patients with DES-ISR, while two trials included both stent types of in-stent restenosis.
Table 1.
Study* | Design and location | Treatments (sample size) | In-stent restenosis | Follow-up | Primary endpoint | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Definition | Stent type | |||||
ARTIST | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=24), Europe | PB v ROTA (148 v 152) | >70% | BMS | Angiographic, IVUS (n=86), and clinical: 6 months | MLD |
RESCUT | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=23), Europe | PB v CUT (214 v 214) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic and clinical: 7 months | BR |
RIBS | 1:1 Randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=24), Spain/Portugal | PB v BMS (226 v 224) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic: 6 months; clinical: 12 months | BR |
Ragosta et al | 1:1 Randomisation, open label, single centre, United States | Cohort 1: PB v BMS (29 v 29); cohort 2: BMS v ROTA (25 v 30) | n/a | BMS | Clinical: 9 months | MACE (CD, MI, or TVR), cohort 1 v 2 |
Montorsi et al | 1:1 randomisation, open label, single centre, Italy | PB v CUT (25 v 25) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic and IVUS: 24 h; clinical: 6 months | n/a |
ISAR DESIRE | 1:1:1 randomisation, open label, two centres, Germany | PB v SES v PES (100 v 100 v 100) | ≥50% | BMS | Angiographic: 6/8 months; clinical: 12 months | BR |
Alfonso et al | 1:1 randomisation, open label, single centre, Spain | PB v BMS (20 v 20) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic: 6 months; clinical: 12 months | Early lumen loss |
RIBS II | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=8), Spain | PB v SES (74 v 76) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic and IVUS (n=82): 9 months; clinical: 12 months | BR |
SISR | 2:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=26), United States | SES v BT (259 v 125) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic and IVUS (n=100): 6 months; clinical: 9 months | TVF (CD, MI, or TVR) |
TAXUS V ISR | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=37), United States | PES v BT (195 v 201) | n/a | BMS | Angiographic and clinical: 9 months | Ischaemia driven TVR |
INDEED | 1:1 randomisation, open label, single centre, South Korea | SES v BT (65 v 64) | >50% | BMS | Angiographic and IVUS (n=79): 6 months; clinical: 12 months | LLL |
PEPCAD II | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=10), Germany | DCB v DES (66 v 65) | ≥70% | BMS | Angiographic: 6 months; clinical: 12 months | LLL |
Habara et al (2011) | 1:1 randomisation, single blind, single centre, Japan | PB v DCB (25 v 25) | ≥50% | DES | Angiographic and clinical: 6 months | LLL |
Wiemer et al | 1:1 randomisation, open label, two centres, Germany | SES v ROTA (44 v 47) | ≥50% | n/a | Angiographic and IVUS (n=86): 6 months; clinical: 12 months | Neointima hyperplasia (%) |
PACCOCATH ISR I/II | 1:1 randomisation, double blind, multicentre (n=5), Germany | PB v DCB (54 v 54) | ≥70% | BMS (96%) DES (4%) |
Angiographic: 6/9 months; clinical: 12 months | LLL |
PEPCAD DES | 1:2 randomisation, single blind, multicentre (n=6), Germany | PB v DCB (38 v 72) | ≥70% or ≥50% and ischaemia | DES | Angiographic and clinical: 6 months | LLL |
Song et al (cohort 1) | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=7), South Korea | SES v DCB (48 v 48) | ≥50% | DES | Angiographic: 9 months; clinical: 12 months | LLL |
CRISTAL | 1:2 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=34), France | PB v SES (61 v 136) | ≥50% | DES | Angiographic: 9/12 months; clinical: 12 months | LLL |
ISAR DESIRE 3 | 1:1:1 randomisation, open label, three centres, Germany | PB v DCB v PES (134 v 137 v 131) | ≥50% | DES | Angiographic: 6/8 months; clinical: 12 months | Stenosis diameter (%) |
Habara et al (2013) | 1:2 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=13), Japan | PB v DCB (71 v 137) | ≥50% | BMS (58%); DES (42%) | Angiographic: 6 months; clinical: 6 months | TVF (CD, MI, or TVR) |
PEPCAD China ISR | 1:1 randomisation, single blind, multicentre (n=17), China | DCB v PES (108 v 106) | ≥70% or ≥50% and ischaemia | DES | Angiographic: 9 months; clinical: 12 months | LLL |
RIBS V | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=25), Spain | DCB v EES (95 v 94) | ≥50% | BMS | Angiographic: 6/9 months; clinical: 12 months | MLD |
SEDUCE | 1:1 randomisation, open label, two centres, Belgium | DCB v EES (24 v 25) | >70% | BMS | Angiographic and OCT: 9 months; clinical: 12 months | Uncovered struts (%) |
RIBS IV | 1:1 randomisation, open label, multicentre (n=23), Spain | DCB v EES (154 v 155) | >50% | DES | Angiographic: 6/9 months; clinical: 12 months | MLD |
BMS=bare metal stent; BR=binary restenosis; BT=brachytherapy; CD=cardiac death; CUT=cutting balloon; DCB=drug coated balloon; DES=drug eluting stent; EES=everolimus eluting stent; IVUS=intravascular uItrasound; LLL=late lumen loss; MACE=major adverse cardiac events; MI=myocardial infarction; MLD=minimum lumen diameter; n/a=not applicable; OCT=optical coherence tomography; PB=plain balloon; PES=paclitaxel eluting stent; ROTA=rotational atherectomy; SES=sirolimus eluting stent; TVF=target vessel failure; TVR=target vessel revascularisation.
*Web appendix includes list of acronyms and identification numbers of the included trials.
Table 2 summarises the clinical and angiographic characteristics of patients enrolled in each trial. The included participants had a mean age of 64 years, were prevalently male (76%), and underwent repeated percutaneous coronary intervention mainly for silent ischaemia/stable angina or unstable angina. Prevalence of diabetes was highly variable across trials (14-62%). Web table 1 reports all the inclusion and exclusion criteria of each trial.
Table 2.
Study* | Age (years) | Male (%, n) | Diabetes (%, n) | Clinical presentation (%, n) | Pattern of in-stent restenosis (%, n)† | Length of in-stent restenosis (mm) | Baseline MLD (mm) | RVD (mm) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARTIST | 61 | 80.2 (239) | 25.2 (75) | No MI 100 (298) | n/a | 13.6 | 0.53 | 2.64 |
RESCUT |
62 | 73.0 (340) | 23.4 (109) | UA: 21.5 (100) | Focal: 44.6 (174); multifocal/diffuse/proliferative: 55.4 (216) | <20: 85.5 (333); >20: 14.5 (57) | 0.84 | 2.56 |
RIBS | 61 | 77.6 (349) | 26.2 (118) | Silent: 7.1 (32); SA: 49.8; (224); UA: 43.1 (194) | n/a | 12.9 | 0.68 | 2.85 |
Ragosta et al | ||||||||
Cohort 1 | 62 | 67.2 (39) | 15.5 (9) | n/a | Focal: 100 (58) | <10: 100 (58)‡ | 0.82 | 3.07 |
Cohort 2 | 59 | 61.8 (34) | 40.0 (22) | n/a | Diffuse: 100 (55) | >10: 100 (55)‡ | 0.74 | 2.90 |
Montorsi et al | 64 | 72.0 (36) | n/a | Silent: 26.0 (13); SA: 74.0 (37) | Focal: 80.0 (40); diffuse: 20.0 (10) | n/a | 1.07 | 3.19 |
ISAR DESIRE | 64 | 78.3 (235) | 27.7 (83) | Silent/SA: 100 (300) | Focal: 56.3 (169); diffuse: 38.7 (116); proliferative: 1.7 (5); occlusive: 3.3 (10) | 12.1 | 0.94 | 2.59 |
Alfonso et al | 66 | 80.0 (32) | 35.0 (14) | Silent: 17.5 (7); SA: 55.0 (22); UA: 27.5 (11) | Focal: 30.0 (12); diffuse: 70.0 (28) | 12.4 | 0.96 | 2.55 |
RIBS II | 64 | 75.3 (113) | 45.3 (52) | Silent: 15.3 (23); SA: 39.3 (59); UA: 45.3 (68) | Focal: 26.7 (40); diffuse: 61.3 (92); proliferative: 12.0 (18) | 16.3 | 0.72 | 2.67 |
SISR | 63 | 67.4 (258) | 32.0 (123) | UA: 48.3 (154) | n/a | 17.0 | 0.82 | 2.63 |
TAXUS V ISR | 63 | 66.2 (262) | 35.1 (139) | UA: 28.0 (111) | Focal: 23.9 (94); diffuse: 53.9 (212); proliferative: 21.4 (84); occlusive: 0.8 (3) | 15.3 | n/a | 2.65 |
INDEED | 60 | 79.1 (102) | 31.0 (40) | SA: 53.5 (69); UA: 46.5 (60) | Diffuse: 100 (129) | 27.6 | 0.79 | 2.72 |
PEPCAD II | 65 | 74.8 (98) | 29.8 (39) | Silent/SA: 74.8 (98) UA: 25.2 (33) |
Focal: 42.7 (56); diffuse: 35.1 (46); proliferative: 19.9 (26); occlusive: 2.3 (3) | 15.6 | 0.76 | 2.84 |
Habara et al (2011) | 69 | 86.0 (43) | 62.0 (31) | SA: 100 (50) | Focal: 58.0 (29); diffuse: 34.0 (17); proliferative: 8.0 (4) | 13.0 | 0.96 | 2.80 |
Wiemer et al | 64 | 82.4 (75) | 48.4 (44) | UA: 27.5 (25) | Diffuse: 86.8 (79); occlusive: 13.2 (12) | 21.2 | 0.78 | 2.83 |
PACCOCATH ISR I/II | 66 | 67.6 (73) | 26.9 (29) | Silent/SA: 61.1 (66); UA: 38.9 (42) | Focal: 65.5 (72); diffuse: 34.5 (38) | 18.5 | 0.67 | 2.94 |
PEPCAD DES | 68 | 70.9 (78) | 35.5 (39) | SA: 96.4 (106); UA: 3.6 (4) | Focal: 52.1 (111); diffuse: 43.7 (93); proliferative: 4.2 (9) | 11.5 | 0.65 | 2.29 |
Song et al (cohort 1) | 63 | 73.9 (71) | 34.4 (33) | SA: 71.9 (69); ACS: 28.1 (27) | Focal: 100 (96) | 8.1 | 0.74 | 3.55 |
CRISTAL | 68 | 71.1 (140) | 38.6 (76) | n/a | n/a | 14.2 | 1.12 | 2.55 |
ISAR DESIRE 3 | 68 | 71.6 (288) | 41.5 (167) | Silent/SA: 80.3 (323); ACS: 19.7 (79) | Focal: 66.8 (334); diffuse: 27.6 (138); proliferative: 1.4 (7); occlusive: 4.2 (21) | n/a | 0.93 | 2.76 |
Habara et al (2013) | 69 | 82.7 (171) | 44.7 (93) | SA: 93.3 (194); ACS: 6.7 (14) | Focal: 52.1 (111); diffuse: 43.7 (93); proliferative: 4.2 (9) | 13.1 | 0.85 | 2.51 |
PEPCAD China ISR | 62 | 80.9 (174) | 36.7 (79) | Silent: 14.9 (32); SA: 24.2 (52); UA: 60.9 (131) | Focal: 63.3 (140); diffuse: 19.5 (43); proliferative: 15.4 (34); occlusive: 1.8 (4) | 12.8 | 0.86 | 2.69 |
RIBS V | 66 | 86.8 (164) | 25.9 (49) | Silent: 12.2 (25); SA: 44.5 (84); UA: 42.3 (80) | Focal: 38.1 (72); diffuse: 46.0 (87); proliferative/occlusive: 15.9 (30) | 13.7 | 0.98 | 2.64 |
SEDUCE | 66 | 86.0 (43) | 14.0 (7) | Silent: 16.0 (8); SA: 60.0 (30); UA: 20.0 (10); NSTEMI: 4.0 (2) | Focal: 34.0 (17); diffuse: 46.0 (23); proliferative: 18.0 (9); occlusive: 2.0 (1) | n/a | 0.78 | 2.93 |
RIBS IV | 66 | 83.2 (157) | 45.6 (141) | Silent/SA: 48.5 (150); UA: 51.5 (159) | Focal: 63.4 (196); diffuse: 31.4 (97); proliferative: 5.2 (16) | 10.6 | 0.77 | 2.63 |
Data are proportion (%) and number of participants for sex, diabetes, clinical presentation, and pattern of in-stent restenosis; data are pooled mean or median for age, length on in-stent restenosis, minimum lumen diameter (MLD), and reference vessel diameter (RVD).
ACS=acute coronary syndrome; MI=myocardial infarction; MLD=minimum lumen diameter; n/a=not applicable; NSTEMI=non-ST elevation myocardial infarction; RVD=reference vessel diameter; SA=stable angina; UA=unstable angina.
*Web appendix includes list of acronyms and identification numbers of included trials.
†Mehran classification.21
Bayesian network meta-analyses
With respect to the primary clinical endpoint (fig 3), use of drug coated balloons or drug eluting stents markedly reduced the risk of target lesion revascularisation compared with all the other treatments. When compared directly, drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents had similar antirestenotic efficacy (summary odds ratio 1.10, 95% credible interval 0.59 to 2.01). Treatment ranking reflected the consistent reduction in the risk of target lesion revascularisation associated with drug coated balloons or drug eluting stents over the other strategies, but also indicated that drug eluting stents had a higher probability (61.4%) of being the best therapy. Rotational atherectomy was associated with the highest risk of target lesion revascularisation compared with the other treatments.
With respect to the primary angiographic endpoint (fig 4), use of a drug coated balloon or drug eluting stent were the most effective treatments, while use of a bare metal stent showed the highest mean difference in late lumen loss, followed by rotational atherectomy. Drug coated balloons emerged as the best therapy in treatment ranking (probability of 70.3%), but the extent of the late lumen loss reduction compared with drug eluting stents was marginal (mean difference −0.04 mm, 95% credible interval −0.20 to 0.10).
Risk of major adverse cardiac events was consistently reduced with use of drug coated balloons or drug eluting stents, compared with all the other treatments (fig 5). Rotational atherectomy therapy led to an increased risk also when compared with poorly effective treatments such as brachytherapy and bare metal stent. The endpoint of major adverse cardiac events was mainly driven by target lesion revascularisation, since no remarkable differences across treatment strategies were noted in terms of death and myocardial infarction (fig 6). However, the incidences of death and myocardial infarction were overall extremely low and conclusions about these endpoints remain limited, especially for treatment comparisons supported by single or few trials. The angiographic superiority of drug coated balloons or drug eluting stents over the other treatments was also confirmed by evaluation of the angiographic secondary endpoints of minimum lumen diameter and binary restenosis (web fig 2). In particular, patients treated with a drug coated balloon or drug eluting stent achieved a higher minimum lumen diameter at follow-up than did the other treatment strategies, and the risk of binary restenosis generally followed the distribution observed for target lesion revascularisation.
All models converged adequately. Heterogeneity (global I2) was moderate for target lesion revascularisation (43.5%), high for late lumen loss (95.3%), and low to moderate for secondary endpoints (major adverse cardiac events=8.5%, death=0%, myocardial infarction=11.8%, minimum lumen diameter=45.4%, binary restenosis=59.4%). Model fitting was compared by use of the deviance information criterion and shown to be similar. The node-split in the analyses for target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss showed a significant inconsistency in the comparison of drug coated balloons versus drug eluting stents. However, the node-split for the secondary endpoint analyses showed significant inconsistency between drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents only for myocardial infarction. We detected a significant inconsistency between comparisons involving cutting balloons for each endpoint.
Bayesian network subanalyses and frequentist head to head comparisons
The main network meta-analysis indicated that drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents were the most effective treatments; thus, we further investigated variations in mean effect, heterogeneity, and consistency in subanalyses. We did a network meta-analysis of closed loop plain balloons, drug coated balloons, and drug eluting stents (13 trials; 2417 patients) to reduce the inconsistency arising from indirect evidence. Web tables 2 and 3 show additional information on the trials included in this network meta-analysis. We also did standard, frequentist, pairwise meta-analyses to complement the results of the network meta-analysis.
Compared with plain balloons, use of drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents continued to be associated with a strong reduction in the risk of target lesion revascularisation (drug coated balloons v plain balloons: summary odds ratio 0.21, 95% credible interval 0.09 to 0.43; drug eluting stents v plain balloons: 0.19, 0.08 to 0.42; fig 7). Similar results were observed for the mean difference in late lumen loss (−0.44 mm, −0.63 to −0.27; −0.39 mm, −0.60 to −0.18; fig 8). After comparison of drug coated balloons with and drug eluting stents, the risk estimates of target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss did not show a significant benefit favouring one treatment over the other. The node-split analysis showed that the pooled risk of target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss between the two treatments in the network meta-analysis was differentially driven by indirect (plain balloon v drug coated balloon; and plain balloon v drug eluting stent) and direct evidence (Bayesian values P=0.043 for target lesion revascularisation and P=0.036 for late lumen loss). Results of corresponding standard pairwise meta-analyses were concordant with those of the network meta-analysis.
At treatment ranking, use of plain balloons was associated with a 99.9% probability of being the least effective treatment both in terms of target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss. The risk of major adverse cardiac events was reduced in patients treated with drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents compared with those treated with plain balloons, but similar effects were noted between the two strategies (web fig 3). The risk of death and myocardial infarction in both the network meta-analysis and standard pairwise meta-analyses tended to be lower with drug coated balloons than with drug eluting stents (web figs 4-5). But owing to the low number of events, this distribution could reflect the effect of chance.
Subgroup and sensitivity analyses
To explore whether earlier devices are affected by a differential response when treated for in-stent restenosis, we stratified patients by categories of BMS-ISR or DES-ISR, and re-evaluated the antirestenotic efficacy of plain balloons, drug coated balloons, and drug eluting stents (figs 9 and 10). Drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents were consistently associated with a significant reduction in the risk of target lesion revascularisation compared with plain balloons both in BMS-ISR and DES-ISR. Both the network and standard pairwise meta-analyses suggested that the magnitude of the benefit of drug coated balloons compared with plain balloons may be larger in BMS-ISR than in DES-ISR, whereas the effect of drug eluting stents compared with plain balloons was less influenced by restenotic stent type. After comparing drug coated balloons with drug eluting stents in BMS-ISR and DES-ISR, we saw no differences in their respective network meta-analyses. However, the corresponding frequentist, pairwise meta-analysis showed a significant reduction in the risk of target lesion revascularisation associated with the reimplantation of drug eluting stents for DES-ISR.
Figure 11 shows the stratification of trials comparing drug coated balloons with drug eluting stents in standard pairwise meta-analyses according to the generation of drug eluting stent implanted for in-stent restenosis. Risk of target lesion revascularisation was similar between first generation drug eluting stents and drug coated balloons. However, the risk decreased consistently in the analysis of second generation drug eluting stents versus drug coated balloons, where repeated stenting with everolimus eluting stents was associated with a trend towards a 65% risk reduction (P=0.052).
In the study removal analysis, the PEPCAD II trial appeared to unduly influence the pooled estimate of target lesion revascularisation for the comparison of drug eluting stents versus drug coated balloons. After exclusion of PEPCAD II from the main analysis, use of drug eluting stents for in-stent restenosis was associated with a larger reduction in target lesion revascularisation compared with drug coated balloons. This finding was seen in both the network meta-analysis (summary odds ratio 0.49, 95% credible interval 0.22 to 1.08) and corresponding standard pairwise meta-analysis (0.51, 95% confidence interval 0.31 to 0.84; fig 12).
A stent thrombosis network meta-analysis was not feasible due to the low number of events and trials reporting on such endpoint. However, we did standard pairwise meta-analyses for the loop plain balloons, drug coated balloons, and drug eluting stents. No significant differences among treatments were observed (web fig 6).
We also excluded rotational atherectomy and brachytherapy from the main network and applied a study size filter of at least 50 patients per arm in the attempt to minimise possible influences of outdated treatments and smaller trials. The results of this network subanalysis for target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss did not show substantial variations compared with the conclusions of the main analysis (web fig 7).
Publication bias
Overall, visual estimation of comparison adjusted funnel plots did not suggest significant asymmetry for all endpoints. However, a consistent number of trials (almost all involving drug coated balloons) fell outside the significance boundaries in the late lumen loss analysis (web figs 8 and 9). Contour enhanced funnel plots for the comparison of drug eluting stents versus drug coated balloon were implemented by Peters’ test (target lesion revascularisation) and Egger’s test (late lumen loss). These plots did not outline significant publication bias (web figs 10-11). However, for late lumen loss, this non-significance could be due to the limited number of trials, because visual inspection suggested an asymmetric distribution and the Egger’s test P value of 0.127 was close to the formal significance threshold of 0.10.
Discussion
This updated network meta-analysis comparing all available treatments for in-stent restenosis had four main findings. Firstly, drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents are the most effective interventional treatments for in-stent restenosis compared with other currently available strategies, leading to superior and long term efficacy in terms of clinical, angiographic and antirestenotic outcomes. Secondly, use of a plain balloon alone is significantly less effective than a drug coated balloon or a drug eluting stent. Thirdly, drug coated balloons might exert a larger efficacy in BMS-ISR than in DES-ISR. Finally, second generation everolimus eluting stents have shown a tendency to reduce the risk of target lesion revascularisation compared with drug coated balloons.
Recently, a meta-analysis by Lee and colleagues evaluated plain balloons, drug coated balloons, and drug eluting stents in the treatment of in-stent restenosis, suggesting drug coated balloons to be the best therapy.41 Our meta-analysis differs from that earlier study in several ways.
Firstly, the main objective of our study was the evaluation of all existing interventional strategies for in-stent restenosis using data from randomised trials, whereas Lee and colleagues’ study included only three treatments. Secondly, the previous meta-analysis did not include two of the six available randomised trials comparing drug coated balloons with drug eluting stents (SEDUCE, RIBS IV), which could explain the disparity between our results and their conclusions. Thirdly, we also performed standard pairwise comparisons between treatment arms and multiple subanalyses to critically complement the results of the network meta-analysis. Finally, we also considered angiographic endpoints whereas the study by Lee and colleagues focused essentially on clinical outcomes.
Use of drug coated balloons versus drug eluting stents for coronary in-stent restenosis
Intracoronary imaging indicates a leading role of exuberant neointimal proliferation among the potential mechanisms of in-stent restenosis.42 Use of drug coated balloons is an emerging treatment for in-stent restenosis, with the putative advantage of delivering an antiproliferative treatment without adding a second layer of metal.4 Our study showed that compared with plain balloons, drug coated balloons resulted in reductions of 79% relative risk of target lesion revascularisation and 0.44 mm mean difference in late lumen loss. However, in-stent restenosis has been also associated with stent underexpansion (that is, insufficient stent expansion at implantation or chronic recoil), uneven stent struts disposition in complex lesions, and neoatherosclerosis.43 44 These factors could theoretically disfavour drug coated balloons, a treatment that cannot guarantee a constant radial strength.11 43
In-stent implantation of drug eluting stents, providing additional permanent scaffolding inside the restenotic stent,45 could overcome the mechanical limitations of drug coated balloons. Although the trials in our systematic review showed no significant differences in periprocedural complications and treatment crossover between drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents, repeated stenting with drug eluting stents might be a more reasonable indication for relevant periprocedural tissue protrusion and in-stent or stent edge dissection. However, small vessel size and diabetes trigger further neointimal proliferation, and an additional metallic layer could critically amplify the risk of recurrent in-stent restenosis.46 47 Selection of the best revascularisation strategy between drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents should be therefore tailored on a case by case basis according to lesion and patient characteristics.
The similar antirestenotic efficacy of drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents observed in our meta-analysis could result from the trade-off between advantages and shortcoming of the two devices. Drug coated balloons are associated with worse acute angiographic results, but are more respectful of the original coronary anatomy, induce lower vascular inflammatory response, and exert a lower stimulus to endothelial growth in the long term. Drug eluting stents guarantee a larger, immediate minimum lumen diameter and more predictable acute effects at the risk of reiterating the process of neointimal growth.45 48 The most relevant concern about drug coated balloons is the durability of the antirestenotic effect, because local drug use in the short term may not result in a longlasting inhibition of restenosis. However, the putative angiographic and clinical superiority of drug eluting stents in the long term for in-stent restenosis is presently not supported by a solid evidence basis.
Our meta-analysis suggests that second generation everolimus eluting stents might be the best strategy for in-stent restenosis. In agreement with large and unselected observational studies,49 50 our stratified analysis showed that these second generation stents produced an almost significant 65% reduction in the risk of target lesion revascularisation compared with drug coated balloons. The efficacy of drug coated balloons and first generation stents was comparable. However, it is still unknown whether this possible benefit is generalisable to diffuse and neoatherosclerotic in-stent restenosis, especially if recurrent.
The available data do not allow for comparison between drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents according to first or recurrent in-stent restenosis, and selection of the best strategy for patients with resistant in-stent restenosis (that is, at least three instances) remains uncertain. Owing to a lack of evidence, we could not establish whether implantation of drug eluting stents for recurrent in-stent restenosis is better than repeat use of drug coated balloons after a failed drug coated balloon strategy. However, the first option seems to be a rational second line treatment.50 Overall, an initial approach to in-stent restenosis with drug coated balloons might be reasonable, especially in BMS-ISR and in patients with small vessels or diabetes. Second generation drug eluting stents should then be prioritised for DES-ISR and complex in-stent restenosis. Because patients with resistant in-stent restenosis tend to have multiple recurrent events, coronary artery bypass grafting should be also considered after multiple failures of percutaneous coronary intervention.21
In view of the anatomical variables potentially influencing early and late procedural antirestenotic efficacy depending on the selection of drug coated balloons or drug eluting stents, both treatments should be considered quick, safe, and effective for non-complex instances of coronary in-stent restenosis. However, in angiographic and unstable lesions and clinical patterns, implantation of drug eluting stents could be preferable owing to the superior mechanical guarantees of metallic scaffolding. In addition, the decision between these two treatments could be affected by varying postprocedural pharmacological management.48. Second generation drug eluting stents have shown to be more biocompatible and less thrombogenic, hence allowing for only six months of dual antiplatelet therapy in de novo lesions.51 However, drug coated balloons deliver locally the antiproliferative medication and avoid permanent structures inside the vessel that need prolonged antithrombotic coverage. Although planned duration of dual antiplatelet therapy varies widely in randomised trials with drug coated balloons (including de novo lesions, in-stent restenosis, or peripheral artery disease), manufacturers advise three months of therapy following use of drug coated balloons. In some trials investigating the efficacy of drug coated balloons for in-stent restenosis or small vessel lesions, one month of dual antiplatelet therapy did not show any safety issue.48 Therefore, drug coated balloons might be indicated in patients with urgent surgical indications or at high haemorrhagic risk.
Potential sources of inconsistency and heterogeneity
The need for a meta-analysis comparing drug eluting stents versus drug coated balloons is supported by the absence of robust antirestenotic differences between treatments across trials of in-stent restenosis. An objective of the meta-analysis is to combine non-conclusive evidence from individual trials to strengthen evidence from the comparison of two or more treatments. Importantly, characteristics of original trials (including design, eligibility criteria, clinical and procedural features) can make the results of indirect comparisons quite different from those of direct comparison. The significant incoherence between direct and indirect effects is known as inconsistency.
We attempted to reduce potential sources of inconsistency affecting the indirect evidence (that is, obsolete treatments, cutting balloon node) by restricting our analysis to the smallest network of plain balloons, drug coated balloons, and drug eluting stents. A network meta-analysis can identify external influences on the mean effect of a specific comparison that otherwise would have remained unreported with standard pairwise meta-analytical methods. However, even in the smallest network subanalysis, the inconsistency remained unchanged and significant Bayesian P values were observed.
Therefore, the conflict between direct and indirect evidence in the comparison of drug coated balloons versus drug eluting stents could have two explanations that are not mutually exclusive. Firstly, if we assume the direct evidence (which numerically favoured drug eluting stents) to be true, one possible explanation to the indirect evidence trending in the opposite direction is that trials comparing drug coated balloons with plain balloons overstate the efficacy of drug coated balloons, or trials comparing drug eluting stents with plain balloons understate the efficacy of drug eluting stents. In our analysis, we detected a high heterogeneity in the comparison of drug coated balloons versus plain balloons, with two smaller trials showing larger treatment effects.
Secondly, if we assume the indirect evidence (which numerically disfavoured drug eluting stent) to be true, a possible explanation is a significant intrinsic inconsistency in the comparison of drug coated balloons with drug eluting stents. In the individual removal analysis, results were in line with this hypothesis, showing that the risk of target lesion revascularisation tended to be influenced by the oldest trial (PEPCAD II). Conversely, the inconsistency for late lumen loss could have been driven by very different, trial specific, mean estimates ranging from 0.04 to 0.55 mm for drug eluting stents and from 0.14 to 0.46 mm for drug coated balloons (same device).
Other treatments for coronary in-stent restenosis
Our results support the notion that bare metal stents and brachytherapy should be no longer considered in the contemporary management of in-stent restenosis. Indeed, although in-stent implantation of bare metal stents for in-stent restenosis provides higher acute lumen gain and better procedural results than plain balloons, it leads to a comparable minimum lumen diameter and percent diameter stenosis after only six months, largely due to significantly higher levels of late lumen loss.52 53 In addition, at six to 12 months, bare metal stents were associated with the highest mean difference in late lumen loss. Several trials in this network meta-analysis concluded that vascular brachytherapy is less effective in treating in-stent restenosis than drug eluting stents. We included brachytherapy in our network meta-analysis to provide an additional reference for more effective strategies in the network, and to quantify a pooled estimate of the antirestenotic effect of this treatment compared with drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents.
This meta-analysis also underlines that rotational atherectomy cannot be considered a standalone treatment for in-stent restenosis, because its outcomes are significantly inferior than those observed with the other treatments. Still, this strategy could be considered as complementary and preliminary to the implantation of drug eluting stents in old, hard, and calcified lesions caused by in-stent restenosis.54 55 Importantly, although rotational atherectomy for in-stent restenosis could be associated with a higher incidence of mechanical complications (that is, stent fracture, coronary perforation, and plaque embolisation), we did not observe a significant increase in death and myocardial infarction at follow-up.
Cutting balloon use was associated with a higher risk of target lesion revascularisation and higher mean difference in late lumen loss than use of a drug coated balloon or drug eluting stent. We did not evaluate the effects of the newer scoring balloon in this meta-analysis because data from randomised trials were not available. However, results from the ISAR-DESIRE 4 trial (NCT01632371) and other reports exploring the use of scoring balloons to prepare in-stent restenosis lesions for drug coated balloons are pending.
Future perspectives
Future direction of in-stent restenosis treatment will depend from the results of additional and larger randomised trials currently comparing drug coated balloons with second generation drug eluting stents. The ongoing DARE (NCT01127958) and TIS (NCT01735825) trials are investigating the superiority of second generation everolimus eluting stents over drug coated balloons. In the MAGIC-TOUCH trial (NCT02400632), researchers are investigating a new sirolimus coated balloon; these results will provide an additional reference for current types of drug coated balloons that elute paclitaxel.
Isolated initial reports have suggested that bioresorbable scaffolds may offer sufficient mechanical support as well as reduced neointimal proliferative stimuli in in-stent restenosis.56 57 However, unfavourable properties of current bioresorbable scaffolds (that is, thick struts, lower radial force than drug eluting stents, and narrower margins for overexpansion after deployment58) could frustrate this approach, which warrants validation in targeted investigations in a sufficient number of patients.
Limitations
The results of our meta-analysis should be interpreted taking the following limitations into account. Firstly, a meta-analysis shares the limitations of the studies included. To minimise this unavoidable shortcoming, only randomised trials were included. The qualitative bias assessment did not suggest significant causes of concern, and differences in follow-up completeness were trivial as the consequence of the strict angiographic surveillance scheduled in all studies. However, we noticed that studies had different proportions of diabetes mellitus, focal or diffuse angiographic patterns in in-stent restenosis, and different minimum lumen diameters at baseline, which cannot be fully appreciated at the study level.
Furthermore, the trials covered a period of about 15 years, which could have introduced unmeasured differences among treatments. Almost all studies were of open label design; this was an unavoidable consequence of the different constitutive characteristics of the devices under investigation, which do not consent complete masking to the operator, with few exceptions (plain balloons and drug coated balloons in PACCOCATH ISR I/II).
The absence of long term follow-up and the varying periods of investigation across trials were also limitations. There are insufficient data on clinical and angiographic outcomes several years after in-stent restenosis treatment, and almost all the studies included in our meta-analysis did not provide information beyond 12 months.
We were forced to select summary odds ratios as an outcome measure owing to the trials not providing enough information to indirectly calculate hazard ratios. However, we compared estimated summary odds ratios with hazard ratios from individual patient data from trials reporting those values, and found that the difference between the two outcome measures was trivial. This lack of difference could have been a result of the favourable follow-up length (≤12 months) and the fact that very few patients were lost at follow-up.
Although this meta-analysis included nearly 5000 patients, some trials were small, of which a large number were powered only for a specific angiographic endpoint, mainly late lumen loss. However, sensitivity analyses on target lesion revascularisation and late lumen loss that were restricted to newer and larger studies did not show relevant deviations from the main results. Additionally, although we observed a numerical distribution for myocardial infarction favouring some treatments over the others, the event rate was low and did not allow us to draw robust conclusions for this endpoint. For similar reasons, the network meta-analysis for stent thrombosis was not feasible because most of the included trials did not report the number of stent thrombosis events, and the remaining reported a low incidence.
Some trials were not included in all analyses because they did not have the specific endpoint of interest or report angiographic values as median and interquartile range. In addition, although few older trials reported only target vessel revascularisation, we pooled these events with target lesion revascularisation, and events of the drug eluting stent group of the ISAR DESIRE trial were derived from collapsing the original groups using sirolimus eluting stents and paclitaxel eluting stents.
Subgroup analyses according to the type of restenotic stent—either bare metal or drug eluting—could not benefit from randomisation in all instances. The trial by Habara and colleagues (2013) included both devices, and in the PACCOCATH ISR I/II trial (which was included in the subgroup analysis for BMS-ISR), 4% of patients actually had DES-ISR. We did not stratify groups by first or recurrent in-stent restenosis because the original data did not allow a clear identification of such variants.
Unrelated mean effect models are not well suited to handle trials with more than two arms. Node-split, the most powerful tool to detect inconsistency, is limited to closed loops. However, our meta-analysis included only one three arm trial (ISAR DESIRE 3), and the most effective treatments were all part of closed loops. Finally, our meta-analysis investigated the efficacy of first generation and second generation everolimus eluting stents, but questions regarding the efficacy of newer stents (that is, second and third generations) remain.
Conclusions
In this network meta-analysis, drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents were shown to be the most effective treatments for in-stent restenosis. Plain balloons, bare metal stents, brachytherapy, rotational atherectomy, and cutting balloons were associated with a higher risk of target lesion revascularisation and inferior angiographic results. We saw no differences in death, myocardial infarction, and stent thrombosis among all included treatments, but such comparisons remain limited by the low number of events. The risk of major adverse cardiac events was consistently reduced with drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents, driven by target lesion revascularisation. Although the main analysis suggested a similar efficacy of drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents, an exploratory subgroup analysis indicated a trend towards a risk reduction in target lesion revascularisation with second generation everolimus eluting stents.
What is already known on this topic
Management of patients with coronary in-stent restenosis is difficult, owing to many factors such as varying causes (aggressive neointimal proliferation, neoatherosclerosis) and the high tendency to recur
In the past 20 years, several strategies have been proposed to counteract in-stent restenosis, but randomised trials comparing different treatments have given mixed and inconclusive results
What this study adds
In a network meta-analysis, contemporary treatment strategies for coronary in-stent restenosis (drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents) were compared with other treatments investigated over the years
Pooled evidence suggested comparable clinical and angiographic antirestenotic efficacy for drug coated balloons and drug eluting stents; plain balloons, bare metal stents, brachytherapy, rotational atherectomy, and cutting balloons were associated with an increased risk of target lesion revascularisation and inferior angiographic results
No differences in death, myocardial infarction, and stent thrombosis were noted across all the treatments investigated
Contributors: DG conceived and designed the study; DG, GG, and PA collected and abstracted the data; DG undertook the statistical analysis; DG, GG, and DC drafted the manuscript; all authors had full access to all the data, including statistical reports and tables; all authors analysed and interpreted the data; all authors critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content; DC is the guarantor.
Funding: This study received no external funding.
Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: no support from any organisation for the submitted work; no financial relationships with any organisations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work.
Ethical approval: None was required.
Data sharing: No additional data available.
The manuscript’s guarantor affirms that the manuscript is an honest, accurate, and transparent account of the study being reported, that no important aspects of the study have been omitted and that any discrepancies from the study as planned have been explained.
Cite this as: BMJ 2015;351:h5392
Web Extra. Extra material supplied by the author
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