Table 2. Predictors of an increased county-level risk of being {black, unarmed, and shot by police} relative to being {white, armed, and shot by police}.
Values are: posterior mean (posterior standard deviation) of the regression coefficients. The symbol log referes to the natural logarithm. Pop refers to absolute population size. Pct. B. refers to the percentage of the county population that is black. Md. In. refers to median income. Gini refers to the Gini index of inequality. GRP refers to the Google search racism proxy. W. Ast and B. Ast refer to the white- and black-specific arrest rates for assualt, respectively. W. Wps and B. Wps refer to the white- and black-specific arrest rates for weapons violations, respectively. Posterior probabilty that a postive regression coeffcient is less than zero (or a negative one greater than zero) is coded as: * indicates a probability between 0.10 and 0.05, ** indicates a probability between 0.05 and 0.01, and *** indicates a probability of 0.01 or less.
| Model | Intercept | SD | log(Pop.) | log(Pct. B.) | log(Md. In.) | log(Gini) | log(GRP) | log(W. Ast) | log(B. Ast) | log(W. Wps) | log(B. Wps) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | 0.15 (0.07) | 0.11 (0.05) | |||||||||
| M2 | 0.4 (0.08) | 0.09 (0.04) | ***0.25 (0.05) | ||||||||
| M3 | 0.64 (0.15) | 0.08 (0.05) | ***0.21 (0.05) | **0.13 (0.06) | |||||||
| M4 | 1.18 (0.43) | 0.07 (0.05) | ***0.29 (0.05) | **-0.57 (0.3) | |||||||
| M5 | 1.78 (0.73) | 0.1 (0.04) | ***0.21 (0.05) | **1.77 (0.93) | |||||||
| M6 | -0.84 (1.15) | 0.09 (0.04) | ***0.25 (0.05) | 0.3 (0.28) | |||||||
| M7 | 0.41 (0.08) | 0.07 (0.05) | ***0.25 (0.05) | -0.07 (0.1) | -0.01 (0.1) | ||||||
| M8 | 0.38 (0.1) | 0.08 (0.05) | ***0.25 (0.05) | 0.01 (0.11) | 0.03 (0.09) | ||||||
| M9 | 1.17 (0.44) | 0.09 (0.05) | ***0.24 (0.06) | **0.11 (0.06) | -0.39 (0.32) | ||||||
| M10 | 1.6 (0.72) | 0.08 (0.04) | ***0.19 (0.06) | *0.1 (0.06) | *1.29 (0.94) | ||||||
| M11 | 0.09 (1.26) | 0.08 (0.04) | ***0.21 (0.05) | *0.11 (0.07) | 0.13 (0.29) | ||||||
| M12 | 0.65 (0.15) | 0.09 (0.04) | ***0.21 (0.05) | **0.12 (0.06) | -0.06 (0.09) | 0.02 (0.1) | |||||
| M13 | 0.62 (0.14) | 0.08 (0.05) | ***0.2 (0.05) | **0.12 (0.06) | 0 (0.1) | 0.04 (0.09) | |||||
| M14 | 1.69 (0.69) | 0.08 (0.04) | ***0.21 (0.06) | *0.1 (0.07) | -0.3 (0.35) | 0.88 (1.04) | |||||
| M15 | 0.93 (1.41) | 0.09 (0.05) | ***0.24 (0.06) | *0.1 (0.07) | -0.39 (0.33) | 0.06 (0.3) | |||||
| M16 | 1.29 (0.45) | 0.09 (0.04) | ***0.26 (0.07) | *0.09 (0.07) | *-0.49 (0.32) | -0.07 (0.1) | 0 (0.09) | ||||
| M17 | 1.22 (0.47) | 0.08 (0.04) | ***0.24 (0.06) | **0.11 (0.06) | *-0.43 (0.33) | -0.02 (0.1) | 0.02 (0.09) | ||||
| M18 | 1.54 (1.56) | 0.11 (0.04) | ***0.18 (0.06) | *0.09 (0.07) | *1.4 (0.96) | 0.03 (0.31) | |||||
| M19 | 1.6 (0.75) | 0.08 (0.04) | ***0.19 (0.06) | *0.09 (0.07) | *1.29 (0.99) | -0.06 (0.09) | 0 (0.1) | ||||
| M20 | 1.62 (0.72) | 0.12 (0.04) | ***0.18 (0.05) | *0.1 (0.07) | *1.33 (0.95) | 0 (0.1) | 0.03 (0.09) | ||||
| M21 | 0.97 (1.46) | 0.09 (0.05) | ***0.25 (0.06) | *0.09 (0.07) | *-0.46 (0.33) | 0.07 (0.31) | -0.06 (0.09) | -0.02 (0.1) | |||
| M22 | 0.96 (1.54) | 0.11 (0.04) | ***0.24 (0.06) | *0.11 (0.07) | -0.41 (0.33) | 0.06 (0.33) | -0.01 (0.1) | 0.01 (0.09) | |||
| M23 | 1.39 (1.54) | 0.12 (0.03) | ***0.19 (0.06) | *0.09 (0.07) | 1.2 (0.98) | 0.04 (0.31) | -0.06 (0.1) | 0.01 (0.1) | |||
| M24 | 1.35 (1.55) | 0.1 (0.04) | ***0.19 (0.06) | *0.1 (0.07) | *1.24 (0.93) | 0.05 (0.31) | 0.01 (0.1) | 0.03 (0.09) | |||
| M25 | 1.55 (1.58) | 0.08 (0.04) | ***0.22 (0.06) | 0.08 (0.07) | -0.3 (0.38) | 0.86 (1.08) | 0.03 (0.31) | -0.07 (0.11) | -0.02 (0.11) | 0.03 (0.1) | 0.02 (0.1) |