Table 1.
Estimates (standard errors) from the KPNC data. Covariate coefficients are in AFT parameterization (i.e. positive coefficients imply decreased risk).
| submodel | effect | linear HPV duration model | log(HPV duration) model |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPV duration submodel |
Intercept (β0) | 6.63 (0.033) | 6.58 (0.036) |
| baseline age (β1) | −0.224 (0.046) | −0.24 (0.048) | |
| baseline age2 (β2) | 0.064 (0.013) | 0.070 (0.013) | |
| scale (τ) | 0.79 (0.023) | 0.68 (0.033) | |
| frailty SD (σ) | 1.065(0.029) | 1.21 (0.035) | |
| precancer/ cancer submodel |
Intercept (α0) | 9.10 (0.13) | 21.28 (0.81) |
| baseline age (α1) | −0.0042 (0.11) | 0.015 (0.12) | |
| baseline age2 (α2) | 0.054 (0.032) | 0.063 (0.033) | |
| scale (κ) | 0.19 (0.017) | 0.52 (0.040) | |
| duration (δ) | −0.25 (0.021) | −1.7 (0.10) | |
| HR: HPV lasts 2 vs. 1 years | 3.9 (0.51) | 9.9 (1.8) | |
| HR: HPV lasts 3 vs. 2 years | 3.9 (0.51) | 3.8 (0.41) | |
| HR: HPV lasts 4 vs. 3 years | 3.9 (0.51) | 2.6 (0.20) | |
| Deviance | 24606 | 24485 | |
| AIC | 24626 | 24505 |