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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Acad Emerg Med. 2015 Oct 16;22(11):1298–1306. doi: 10.1111/acem.12814

Table 4.

a. Algorithmic alert and physician judgment test characteristics across age strata.

b. Algorithmic alert and physician judgment test characteristics in subjects with at least one comorbidity.

a.
Method Age Category Positive Test
n (%)
Severe Sepsis
n (%)
Sensitivity Specificity Area under ROC curve

Test Characteristic (95% CI)
Algorithmic alert 57 days to <1 year (n=4,411) 203 (4.6) 7 (0.2) 85.7 (84.7–86.8) 95.5 (94.9–96.1) 0.95 (0.88–1.0)
1 year to <4 years (n=9,480) 1,543 (16.3) 19 (0.2) 79.0 (78.1–79.8) 83.6 (83.0–84.6) 0.85 (0.79–0.91)
4 years to <13 years (n=4,885) 1,043 (21.4) 41(0.8) 97.6 (97.1–98.0) 79.1 (78.0–80.2) 0.89 (0.87–0.90)
≥ 13 years (n=748) 502 (67.1) 21(2.8) 95.2 (93.7–96.8) 33.7 (30.3–37.1) 0.65 (0.62–0.68)

Physician judgment 57 days to <1 year (n=4,411) 32 (0.7) 7 (0.2) 85.7 (84.7–86.8) 99.4 (99.2–99.6) 0.92 (0.79–1.0)
1 year to <4 years (n=9,480) 35 (0.4) 19 (0.2) 63.2 (62.2–64.1) 99.8 (99.7–99.9) 0.81 (0.70–0.93)
4 years to <13 years (n=4,885) 65 (1.3) 41 (0.8) 75.6 (74.4–76.8) 99.3 (99.1–99.5) 0.87 (0.81–0.94)
≥ 13 years (n=748) 27 (3.6) 21 (2.8) 71.4 (68.2–74.7) 98.4 (97.4–99.3) 0.85 (0.75–0.95)
b.
Method Comorbid Condition Positive Test
n (%)
Severe Sepsis
n (%)
Sensitivity Specificity Area under ROC curve

Test Characteristic (95% CI)
Algorithmic alert 0 comorbid conditions (n=16,311) 2,030 (12.4) 45 (0.3) 88.9 (88.4–89.4) 87.8 (87.2–88.3) 0.9 (0.87–0.93)
At least 1 comorbid condition (n=3,213) 1,271 (39.6) 41 (1.3) 95.4 (94.6–96.1) 61.2 (59.5–62.9) 0.79 (0.77–0.81)

Physician judgment 0 comorbid conditions (n=16,311) 91 (2.7) 45 (0.3) 73.3 (72.7–74.0) 99.6 (99.6–99.7) 0.86 (0.80–0.93)
At least 1 comorbid condition (n=3,213) 68 (2.1) 41 (1.3) 72.1 (70.1–73.6) 98.8 (98.5–99.2) 0.85 (0.79–0.92)