| Base |
Base |
Baseline model with no modifications. |
| Simple disturbance |
SD |
Cell-sized disturbance with an average return time of 15 years. Individuals in disturbed cells have a 30% chance of survival. |
| Canopy disturbance |
CD |
Similar to SD but survival probability differs among age classes as follows: seedlings 30%, saplings 15%, small trees 5%, medium trees 10%, large trees 20%. |
| Understory disturbance |
UD |
Similar to SD but survival probability differs among age classes as follows: seedlings 10%, sapling 15%, small trees 35%, medium trees 70%, large trees 95%. |
| 25yr disturbance return |
25 |
Disturbance with an average return time of 25 years. |
| Longer dispersal |
L |
Dispersal distances increased by 50%, to an average of 75 m for seed and 360 m for pollen. |
| Shorter dispersal |
S |
Dispersal distances reduced by 50%, to an average of 25 m for seeds and 120 m for pollen. |
| High fecundity |
HF |
Trees produce 4x as much viable seed. |
| No HE species |
NH |
LE species only, no HE species modeled. |
| No LE genetic variation, broad tolerance |
LNW |
LE species has a single genotype that performs best in climate 5 but has broader tolerances (Fig 2 top left). |
| No HE genetic variation, broad tolerance |
HNW |
Similar to LNW but HE rather than LE has a single genotype with broader tolerances with an optimum in climate 2 (Fig 2 top right). |
| No HE genetic variation, narrow tolerance |
HNN2 HNN3 |
HE has a single genotype that performs best in either climate 2 or 3, with performance declining away from this optimum identically to individual genotypes in the baseline model (Fig 2 bottom left and right). |
| Increased large tree survival |
LTS |
Maximum large tree survival probability increased from 0.98 to 0.992. |
