Table 1.
Ct cutoff value | Se (%): RF (n = 50 fleas) | Se (%): HF (n = 50 fleas) | Sp (%)(n = 50 fleas) | PPV (%):RF vs UF | PPV (%):HF vs UF | % NTCs with no detectable vertebrate DNA (n = 110 wells) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 84 | 90 | 88 | 100 | ≤88.2a | ≥52.7b |
39 | 84 | 90 | 90 | 100 | ≤90.0a | ≥66.4b |
38 | 84 | 90 | 90 | 100 | ≤90.0a | ≥80.9b |
37 | 78 | 76 | 92 | 100 | ≤90.5a | ≥95.5b |
36 | 74 | 64 | 94 | 100 | 91.4 | 100 |
35 | 72 | 40 | 96 | 100 | 90.9 | 100 |
34 | 68 | 20 | 96 | 100 | 83.3 | 100 |
Se, sensitivity, the percentage of rat blood-fed (RF) fleas or human blood-fed (HF) fleas with a detectable vertebrate blood meal; Sp, specificity, the percentage of unfed fleas without detectable vertebrate DNA; PPV, positive predictive value, the percentage of fleas with detectable rat DNA that had consumed rat blood (RF vs unfed [UF]) or the percentage of fleas with detectable human DNA that consumed human blood (HF vs UF); NTC, no template control.
Sequencing indicated that all unfed flea DNA isolates with Ct ≤ 40 contained human DNA. We sequenced amplicons from fed flea samples only if they had a Ct value ≤ 36. We calculated PPV assuming that all rat blood-fed fleas and human blood-fed fleas with a detectable vertebrate blood meal and a Ct value >36 contained rat or human DNA, respectively. The true PPV for with Ct cutoff values > 36 could therefore be lower.
We did not sequence amplicons from NTCs with Ct > 36. Sequencing could lead us to re-classify some false-positive NTCs as negative, increasing the percent of NTCs with no detectable vertebrate DNA.