Table 3. Predicted year that temperatures will annually reach values associated with previous mass bleaching events based on Poisson Linear Regression.
| Site | Threshold | ENSO Years Included | Year | ENSO Years Excluded | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equation | Equation | ||||
| H&C | 23 days ≥ 31 °C | Days = 0.491*Yr – 969.1 | 2021 | Days = 0.377*Yr – 743.9 | 2034 |
| H&C + SC | Days = 0.418*Yr – 826.0 | 2029 | Days = 0.315*Yr – 621.3 | 2045 | |
| H&C + SC + UKI | Days = 0.442*Yr – 873.5 | 2027 | Days = 0.381*Yr – 752.4 | 2035 | |
| MLRF | 16 days ≥ 30.5 °C | ns | ns | Days = 0.481*Yr – 955.5 | 2020 |
| 1 day ≥ 31 °C | ns | ns | Days = 0.050*Yr – 100.1 | 2014 |
Data shown with and without strong ENSO years of 1997–1998. ns, not significant.