Table 4.

Discriminatory capacity of all three model to predict risk of adverse healthcare outcomes (AUC and standard error).

Model	Risk of institutionalization		Risk of hospitalization		Risk of death
	AUC (SE)	p∗	AUC (SE)	p∗	AUC (SE)	p∗
M1	0.810 (0.007)	0.116	0.816 (0.006)	0.234	0.819 (0.007)	0.080
M2	0.824 (0.007)	0.005’	0.823 (0.006)	0.405’	0.828 (0.007)	0.050’
M3	0.838 (0.007)	0.084”	0.821 (0.006)	0.999”	0.826 (0.007)	0.697”

^∗p: comparing M1 and M2; p’: comparing M1 and M3; p”: comparing M2 and M3.