Table 3. Estimated percentage lineages through time for the four different southern African data sets.
Time | Southern Africa Percentage Linages Through Time |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gag p24 full-length + old sequence |
pol full-length + old sequence |
|||||||
Mean | Median | Upper | Lower | Mean | Median | Upper | Lower | |
2010 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
2005 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
2000 | 99.76 | 99.73 | 100 | 99.47 | 99.66 | 99.73 | 100 | 99.47 |
1995 | 99.27 | 99.2 | 99.47 | 98.67 | 99.42 | 99.47 | 99.47 | 99.2 |
1990 | 98.57 | 98.67 | 99.47 | 97.6 | 98.43 | 98.4 | 99.2 | 97.33 |
1985 | 95.89 | 96.27 | 98.4 | 91.2 | 91.77 | 91.98 | 95.99 | 86.1 |
1980 | 61.29 | 61.07 | 77.87 | 46.93 | 54.3 | 54.28 | 66.58 | 41.98 |
1975 | 23.57 | 22.93 | 37.33 | 12.53 | 9.39 | 9.09 | 16.31 | 4.28 |
1970 | 8.46 | 7.47 | 18.67 | 2.93 | 1.62 | 1.6 | 2.67 | 0.8 |
1965 | 2.47 | 2.4 | 5.33 | 0.8 | 0.75 | 0.8 | 1.07 | 0.53 |
South Africa Percentage Linages Through Time | ||||||||
2010 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
2005 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
2000 | 97.35 | 99.89 | 100 | 98.32 | 99.84 | 100 | 100 | 99.41 |
1995 | 96.75 | 95.09 | 98.61 | 97.16 | 99.23 | 99.41 | 99.71 | 98.24 |
1990 | 94.52 | 93.13 | 98.32 | 90.78 | 96.94 | 97.36 | 99.41 | 91.79 |
1985 | 70.23 | 70.69 | 90.49 | 42.34 | 72.03 | 73.9 | 91.5 | 42.82 |
1980 | 31.2 | 27.77 | 70.19 | 8.12 | 32 | 29.03 | 70.97 | 8.21 |
1975 | 8.98 | 6.45 | 32.19 | 1.45 | 9.21 | 6.74 | 32.55 | 1.47 |
1970 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 8.41 | 0.58 | 2.26 | 1.47 | 8.5 | 0.59 |
1965 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 2.1 | 0.15 | 0.56 | 0.37 | 2.13 | 0.15 |
These estimates were derived from non-parametric runs under a relaxed molecular clock assumption and an estimated substitution rate.