Table 3.
Comparison of the six biogeographical reconstruction models for three different scenarios (“S0”, “S1”, “S2”; see text for definition)
| Scenario S0 | Scenario S1 | Scenario S2 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | lnL | AIC | ῳi | lnL | AIC | ῳi | lnL | AIC | ῳi |
| DEC | −13.984414 | 31.97 | 0.042 | −13.072694 | 30.15 | 0.018 | −14.54651 | 33.09 | 0.55 |
| DEC + J | −9.861326 | 25.72 | 0.96 | −8.059002 | 22.12 | 0.98 | −13.75296 | 33.51 | 0.45 |
| DIVALIKE | −11.852773 | 27.71 | 0.11 | −10.371666 | 24.74 | 0.11 | −13.23454 | 30.47 | 0.66 |
| DIVALIKE + J | −8.73571 | 23.47 | 0.89 | −7.315617 | 20.63 | 0.89 | −12.90696 | 31.81 | 0.34 |
| BAYAREALIKE | −17.770147 | 39.54 | 0.0047 | −18.357268 | 40.71 | 0.0002 | −19.58099 | 43.16 | 0.025 |
| BAYAREALIKE + J | −11.405964 | 28.81 | 1 | −8.920927 | 23.84 | 1 | −14.90445 | 35.81 | 0.98 |
For each model of each scenario are indicated the log-likelihood (lnL), the Akaike information criterion (AIC) values, and the Akaike weight ῳi (indicating the relative likelihood of the model). The model with lowest AIC value is marked in bold font and the most likely scenario is underlined. DEC = Dispersal-Extinction Cladogenesis; DIVA = Dispersal-Vicariance Analysis; BAYAREALIKE = Bayesian inference of historical biogeography for discrete areas; j = founder-event speciation parameter