Table 1.
Original task | Modified task |
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When playing slot machines, people win something 1 out of every 10 times. Julie, however, just won her first three plays. What are her chances of winning the next time she plays? ___ out of ___ [An answer of 1 out of 10 is the normative response and was scored as 1, while any other response was scored as 0.] (Toplak et al., 2007, p. 111) |
You are responsible for the financial planning of a real estate broking firm Based on past data, your entrusted broker company makes profitable deals in 60% of the cases in the long term They were unsuccessful with their last nine cases. What are the chances that the 10th case will be successful? (A) 60%; (B) 70%; (C) 80%; (D) 90% [Correct answer: (A)] |