Skip to main content
. 2015 Nov 19;6:1770. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01770

Table 1.

An example of the adapted changes on the Gambler's Fallacy task.

Original task Modified task
When playing slot machines, people win something 1 out of every 10 times. Julie, however, just won her first three plays. What are her chances of winning the next time she plays? ___ out of ___
[An answer of 1 out of 10 is the normative response and was scored as 1, while any other response was scored as 0.]
(Toplak et al., 2007, p. 111)
You are responsible for the financial planning of a real estate broking firm Based on past data, your entrusted broker company makes profitable deals in 60% of the cases in the long term They were unsuccessful with their last nine cases. What are the chances that the 10th case will be successful?
(A) 60%; (B) 70%; (C) 80%; (D) 90%
[Correct answer: (A)]