Table 2.
Patient movement parameters used in the individual-based model
| ICU | GW |
Source | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| all specialties | acute care of the elderly | general medical | ||
| Daily probability of ward discharge for susceptible and MRSA-colonized patients | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.15 | mean (mean and full distribution used in model described previously31) |
| Daily probability of ward discharge for MRSA-infected patients | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | |
| Daily probability of hospital discharge given a ward discharge | 0.18 | 0.58 | 0.51 | |
| Daily probability of transfer between ward types | 0.56 | 0.0036 | 0.00053 | |
| Daily probability of death for susceptible and MRSA-colonized patients | 0.02 | 0.007 | 0.007 | |
| Daily probability of death for MRSA-infected patients | 0.03 | 0.0085 | ||
| Probability of readmission, first hospital stay | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.26 | mean (mean and full distribution used in model described previously31) |
| Probability of readmission, second hospital stay | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.50 | |
| Time (days) between discharge and readmission (mean) | 96.69 | |||
| Probability that a patient will be readmitted to the same specialty | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | |
| All specialties and wards | ||||
| Proportion of patients assigned to ‘acute care of the elderly’ specialty | 0.30 | |||
| Hospital beds | ICU beds 10 | GW beds 30 | average ward sizes in study dataset | |