Table 4.
Predicted probabilities that a male patient aged ≥20 years will have an incident or a repeated normal PSA test when exposed to a GP scoring in the first, second, third, or fourth quartiles of significant predictor variables
| First quartile | Second quartile | Third quartile | Fourth quartile | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predicted probability of incident PSA test, % (95% CI) | ||||||
| Anxiety caused by uncertainty | 2.5 (2.0 to 3.0) | 2.5 (2.0 to 2.9) | 3.0 (2.2 to 3.8) | 3.6 (2.8 to 4.4) | ||
| Concern about bad outcomes | 2.4 (2.0 to 2.9) | 3.0 (2.1 to 3.8) | 3.1 (2.5 to 3.8) | 3.2 (2.4 to 3.9) | ||
| Tolerance for ambiguity | 3.1 (2.4 to 3.8) | 3.7 (2.8 to 4.6) | 2.4 (2.0 to 2.8) | 2.1 (1.6 to 2.6) | ||
|
| ||||||
| Predicted probability of repeated normal PSA test, % (95% CI) | ||||||
| Tolerance for ambiguity | 1.4 (0.9 to 1.9) | 1.2 (0.7 to 1.6) | 1.0 (0.7 to 1.2) | 0.7 (0.5 to 1.0) | ||
| Physician risk attitude | 1.3 (0.9 to 1.7) | 1.2 (0.9 to 1.5) | 0.8 (0.5 to 1.1) | 0.8 (0.5 to 1.2) | ||