Table 2.

Predicting Depression Onset

	AUCg				CAR
	β	SE	t	p	β	SE	t	p
Step 1
Intercept	0.22	0.35	0.71	0.482	0.27	0.33	0.80	0.427
Maternal history of depression	1.07	0.33	3.27	0.002	1.21	0.37	3.27	0.002
Baseline age	−1.61	0.39	4.17	< .001	−1.47	0.47	3.14	0.003
Baseline CDI-S	0.68	0.46	1.49	0.142	0.87	0.54	1.62	0.111
Time baseline to follow-up	−0.42	0.35	1.19	0.238	−0.13	0.28	0.45	0.654
Cortisol	0.62	0.31	1.97	0.053	−0.37	0.34	1.09	0.281
Negative life events	0.32	0.43	0.75	0.458	0.17	0.49	0.35	0.725
Step 2
Cortisol x Negative life events	0.93	0.42	2.23	0.030	0.05	0.22	0.21	0.833

Note: CDI-S=Children’s Depression Inventory-Short Form; AUC_g=Area under the curve with respect to ground; CAR=Cortisol awakening response