Table 2.
Disease Status at Baseline | No. of Participants | No. of Deaths | Hazard Ratio (95% CI) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age and Sex | Age, Sex, and Smoking |
Age, Sex, Smoking, and Intermediate Risk Factors |
Age, Sex, Smoking, Intermediate Risk Factors, and Other Lifestyle Factors |
|||
Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (68 Studies, 355 639 Participants, 47 067 Deaths)a | ||||||
Diabetes, stroke, and MI | 260 | 165 | 6.2 (5.1–7.4) | 6.3 (5.2–7.5) | 6.0 (5.0–7.1) | |
Stroke and MI | 921 | 517 | 3.7 (3.1–4.3) | 3.8 (3.2–4.4) | 3.7 (3.2–4.4) | |
Diabetes and stroke | 654 | 334 | 3.7 (3.3–4.2) | 3.9 (3.4–4.4) | 3.6 (3.2–4.1) | |
Diabetes and MI | 1827 | 930 | 3.6 (3.1–4.0) | 3.8 (3.3–4.4) | 3.6 (3.2–4.1) | |
MI | 12 141 | 4270 | 2.0 (1.9–2.1) | 2.0 (1.9–2.2) | 2.0 (1.9–2.2) | |
Stroke | 4357 | 1530 | 2.1 (1.9–2.2) | 2.0 (1.9–2.2) | 2.0 (1.8–2.1) | |
Diabetes | 12 887 | 3629 | 1.9 (1.7–2.0) | 1.9 (1.8–2.0) | 1.8 (1.7–1.9) | |
None | 322 592 | 35 692 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | |
UK Biobank (491 424 Participants, 7688 Deaths)b | ||||||
Diabetes, stroke, and MI | 218 | 26 | 5.8 (3.9–8.5) | 5.2 (3.5–7.7) | 4.9 (3.3–7.2) | 4.9 (3.3–7.2) |
Stroke and MI | 638 | 51 | 3.6 (2.7–4.7) | 3.2 (2.5–4.3) | 3.1 (2.4–4.1) | 3.1 (2.3–4.0) |
Diabetes and stroke | 919 | 75 | 3.9 (3.1–4.9) | 3.8 (3.0–4.8) | 3.6 (2.9–4.5) | 3.6 (2.8–4.5) |
Diabetes and MI | 1943 | 190 | 4.3 (3.7–5.0) | 4.2 (3.6–4.8) | 4.0 (3.4–4.6) | 3.9 (3.4–4.5) |
MI | 8572 | 407 | 2.1 (1.9–2.3) | 2.0 (1.8–2.3) | 2.0 (1.8–2.2) | 2.0 (1.8–2.2) |
Stroke | 6632 | 259 | 2.1 (1.8–2.4) | 2.0 (1.8–2.3) | 2.0 (1.7–2.2) | 1.9 (1.7–2.2) |
Diabetes | 17 928 | 504 | 1.6 (1.5–1.8) | 1.6 (1.5–1.8) | 1.5 (1.4–1.7) | 1.5 (1.4–1.7) |
None | 454 574 | 6176 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] |
Abbreviation: MI, myocardial infarction.
The intermediate risk factors available were body mass index; systolic blood pressure; and high-density lipoprotein and total cholesterol.
The intermediate risk factors available were body mass index and systolic blood pressure. Other lifestyle factors available were socioeconomic status (defined as education level) and diet (defined as self-reported consumption of meat and fruit).