Table 2. Lung Cancer Risk by Race, Ethnicity and Sex Among Ever Smokers Eligible for Lung Cancer Screening Under Medicare.
| Sociodemographic characteristic | Estimated Number of Ever Smokers | Estimated Number of Eligible for screening** | Percent eligible for screening** | Median 6-year lung cancer risk*** (95% Confidence Interval) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total * | 29,740,000 | 7,250,000 | 24.4 | 3.20% (2.74, 3.65) |
| Men | 17,100,000 | 4,530,000 | 26.5 | 3.06% (2.69, 3.72) |
| Women | 12,640,000 | 2,720,000 | 21.5 | 3.26% (2.75, 3.86) |
| Whites | 23,200,000 | 6,050,000 | 26.1 | 3.22% (2.74, 3.71) |
| Men | 13,220,000 | 3,740,000 | 28.3 | 3.14% (2.68, 3.80) |
| Women | 9,980,000 | 2,310,000 | 23.1 | 3.32% (2.74, 3.82) |
| Blacks | 3,000,000 | 560,000 | 18.7 | 4.37% (3.86, 5.44) |
| Men | 1,600,000 | 280,000 † | 17.5 | 4.39% (3.81, 5.21) |
| Women | 1,400,000 | 280,000 | 20.0 | 4.32% (2.97, 5.85) |
| Hispanics | 2,150,000 | 350,000 † | 16.3 | 1.18% (1.02, 1.59) |
| Men | 1,390,000 | 260,000 | 18.7 | 1.34% (1.04, 1.89) |
| Women | 760,000 | 90,000 † | 11.8 | 0.99% (0.47, 1.40) |
† Significantly different compared to whites at 95% confidence level.
*Includes persons of races other than black, white and Hispanic.
**Eligibility based on age (55–77), pack-years (≤30) and any smoking within 15 years.
***Based on PLCOm2102 model