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. 2015 Nov 30;10(11):e0143789. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0143789

Table 3. Differences by Race, Ethnicity and Sex in Percent of Ever Smokers Eligible between Medicare and Risk Criteria.

Sociodemographic Characteristics Estimated number of persons eligible for screening based on risk cut-point* Estimated percent of ever smokers eligible Estimated change in percent of participants eligible based on risk cut-point relative to Medicare criteria**(95% CI)
Whites 6,050,000 26.1 0 (-2.9, 2.9)
 Men 3,650,000 27.6 -0.7 (-4.7, 3.2)
 Women 2,400,000 24.1 0.9 (-2.7, 4.5)
Blacks 830,000 27.7 8.8 (6.3, 11.3)
 Men 480,000 30.0 12.4 (9.2,15.7)
 Women 350,000 25.0 4.7 (0.3, 9.0)
Hispanics 130,000 6.1 -10.1 (-13.4, -6.9)
 Men 110,000 7.9 -10.8 (-15.1, -6.5)
 Women 20,000 2.6 -8.9 (-13.2, -4.6)

Numbers are in units of 10,000 persons. 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval.

Significant at 95% confidence limit.

*cut-point = 2.12% six year risk

**Eligibility based on age (55–77), pack-years (30) and ever smokers. Eligibility is calculated on 2.12% six-year risk for lung cancer. This cut-point was derived by increasing the risk until the total number of persons eligible was comparable to eligible population based on age and pack years.