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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Dec 1.

Published in final edited form as: Epidemics. 2015 Aug 28;13:44–55. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2015.07.002

Trajectories of effective reproductive number R (blue curves) with 95% HPD (gray polygons), and MCC time-trees within analyzed HIV sub-epidemics with 5+ members. A: Increasing R in cluster c03_n07. B: Declining R in cluster c04_n08. C: Fluctuating R in cluster c05_n06. D (next page): Fluctuating R in other 12 clusters.

Trajectories of effective reproductive number R (blue curves) with 95% HPD (gray polygons), and MCC time-trees within analyzed HIV sub-epidemics with 5+ members. A: Increasing R in cluster c03_n07. B: Declining R in cluster c04_n08. C: Fluctuating R in cluster c05_n06. D (next page): Fluctuating R in other 12 clusters.