Table 2. ABC posterior summary for D, q and λ for all experiments in Scenario 2, using uninformative priors for D, q and λ.
Results shown include the posterior mean (and the 90% CI in the parentheses) and the coefficient of variation, CV.
| C(0) | T(h) | E[D] (90% CI) (µm2h−1) | CV(D)(%) | E[q] | CV(q)(%) | E[λ] (90% CI) ×10−2 (h−1) | CV(λ)(%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20,000 | 0—24 | 234.0 (215.4, 253.9) | 4.9 | 0.25 (0.21, 0.29) | 10.7 | 3.83 (3.58, 4.08) | 4.0 |
| 0—48 | 292.9 (267.8, 321.2) | 5.5 | 0.34 (0.25, 0.42) | 15.3 | 3.89 (3.69, 4.09) | 3.2 | |
| 24—48 | 336.9 (299.7, 377.1) | 7.2 | 0.38 (0.29, 0.44) | 11.8 | 3.90 (3.66, 4.18) | 3.9 | |
| 30,000 | 0—24 | 267.8 (245.1, 291.2) | 5.2 | 0.39 (0.34, 0.44) | 7.9 | 3.97 (3.72, 4.20) | 3.6 |
| 0—48 | 332.0 (293.1, 373.8) | 7.9 | 0.51 (0.47, 0.63) | 12.4 | 4.04 (3.80, 4.30) | 3.8 | |
| 24—48 | 351.2 (296.8, 395.1) | 8.1 | 0.61 (0.52, 0.69) | 8.8 | 4.06 (3.77, 4.38) | 4.2 |