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. 2015 Dec 8;10(12):e0144390. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0144390

Table 5. Predictive clinical factors associated with the risk of perianal fistula in Korean patients with Crohn’s disease.

Univariate analysis a Multivariate analysis b
5-year cumulative rate (%) P value HR 95% CI P value
Age at diagnosis (%) < 0.001
< 40 years 39.1 3.15 2.05–4.86 < 0.001
≥ 40 years 14.5 1 (Ref)
Gender 0.152
Male 37.0 1.12 0.89–1.41 0.339
Female 31.3 1 (Ref)
Family history of IBD (%) 0.136
Yes 47.8 1.46 0.82–2.61 0.198
No 35.1 1 (Ref)
Disease location at diagnosis (%) c 0.557
Any ileal involvement 35.8 1.03 0.80–1.34 0.808
No involvement of ileum 33.9 1 (Ref)
Concomitant UGI disease (L4) 0.359
Yes 40.1 1.12 0.80–1.56 0.523
No 35.0 1 (Ref)
Interval of diagnostic delay (%) 0.005
< 3 months 29.9 1 (Ref)
3–6 months 40.4 1.42 1.06–1.90 0.020
6–18 months 40.7 1.42 1.09–1.85 0.009
≥ 18 months 39.0 1.38 1.06–1.80 0.016

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; IBD, inflammatory bowel disease; UGI, upper gastrointestinal.

acalculated by a Kaplan-Meier survival model.

banalyzed by a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model.

cDisease location and behavior were determined according to the Montreal classification.