Table 5. Predictive clinical factors associated with the risk of perianal fistula in Korean patients with Crohn’s disease.
Univariate analysis a | Multivariate analysis b | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-year cumulative rate (%) | P value | HR | 95% CI | P value | ||
Age at diagnosis (%) | < 0.001 | |||||
< 40 years | 39.1 | 3.15 | 2.05–4.86 | < 0.001 | ||
≥ 40 years | 14.5 | 1 (Ref) | ||||
Gender | 0.152 | |||||
Male | 37.0 | 1.12 | 0.89–1.41 | 0.339 | ||
Female | 31.3 | 1 (Ref) | ||||
Family history of IBD (%) | 0.136 | |||||
Yes | 47.8 | 1.46 | 0.82–2.61 | 0.198 | ||
No | 35.1 | 1 (Ref) | ||||
Disease location at diagnosis (%) c | 0.557 | |||||
Any ileal involvement | 35.8 | 1.03 | 0.80–1.34 | 0.808 | ||
No involvement of ileum | 33.9 | 1 (Ref) | ||||
Concomitant UGI disease (L4) | 0.359 | |||||
Yes | 40.1 | 1.12 | 0.80–1.56 | 0.523 | ||
No | 35.0 | 1 (Ref) | ||||
Interval of diagnostic delay (%) | 0.005 | |||||
< 3 months | 29.9 | 1 (Ref) | ||||
3–6 months | 40.4 | 1.42 | 1.06–1.90 | 0.020 | ||
6–18 months | 40.7 | 1.42 | 1.09–1.85 | 0.009 | ||
≥ 18 months | 39.0 | 1.38 | 1.06–1.80 | 0.016 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; IBD, inflammatory bowel disease; UGI, upper gastrointestinal.
acalculated by a Kaplan-Meier survival model.
banalyzed by a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model.
cDisease location and behavior were determined according to the Montreal classification.