Table 1. Metrics of model calibrations and evaluation under current environmental conditions for projections to past and future climate conditions.
Model calibration for projection to past | Model calibration for projection to future | ||
---|---|---|---|
Only wild (var. chichagui) records (55) | Wild (var. chichagui) and cultivated (var. gasipaes) records (55+111) | Only cultivated (var. gasipaes) records (166) | |
Model ensemble | MAXENT | MAXENT & GBM & RF & RPART | GBM & MAXENT & GBMSTEP & FDA & EARTH & GAM & RF & GLM & MGCV & GLMSTEP & BIOCLIM |
AUC | 0.84 | 0.99 | 0.97 |
Calibrated AUC | 0.60 | 0.59 | 0.87 |
Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity threshold | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.10 |