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. 2015 May 7;18(7):597–611. doi: 10.1111/ele.12443

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© 2015 The Authors Ecology Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd and CNRS.

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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(a) Two population dynamic time series originated by two nearby initial conditions (, with δ₀ = 10⁻⁵) using the Logistic map with growth rate = 3.6. (b) Growth of the logarithm of the difference of the two times series in panel (a). (c) Relationship between forecast horizon (Tp) and the Lyapunov exponent predicted by equation 1, for two sizes of δ₀.

Inline graphic — (a) Two population dynamic time series originated by two nearby initial conditions (, with δ₀ = 10⁻⁵) using the Logistic map with growth rate = 3.6. (b) Growth of the logarithm of the difference of the two times series in panel (a). (c) Relationship between forecast horizon (Tp) and the Lyapunov exponent predicted by equation 1, for two sizes of δ₀.