Table 2.

Segmentations of flowering date series (BBCH 61 stage for all locations except Conthey—BBCH 65 stage) using piecewise constant models (2 or 1 segment when the 2-segment model was irrelevant): observation period, change-point instant and amplitude, global standard deviation, optimal segmentation posterior probability, model posterior probability, mBIC model, average flowering duration, correlation coefficient between BBCH 61 and 65 stage dates.

Location	Cultivar	Observation period	Change point		Standard deviation	Posterior probability		mBIC model	Average flowering duration	61–65 stage date correlation coef.
			Instant	Amplitude		Segmentation	Model
Angers	Golden D.	1963–2013	1989	−7.81	6.89	0.33	0.81*
Nîmes	Golden D.	1974–2013	1989	−5.39	7.05	0.15	0.1	1	2.71	0.99
Nîmes	Gala	1979–2013	1989	−6.7	6.59	0.25	0.2	1	2.68	0.99
Nîmes	Fuji	1983–2013	1988	−11.2	7.51	0.24	0.27	1	3.15	0.96
Forli	Golden D.	1970–2013	1988	−7.35	6.87	0.36	0.62*		3.95	0.97
Trento	Golden D.	1983–2013	1988	−13.75	5.96	0.32	0.52*		3.58	0.98
Gembloux	Golden D.	1984–2013	1987	−15.44	5.63	0.64	0.92*
Bonn	Golden D.	1958–2013	1989	−9.33	7.96	0.33	0.12	3	4.45	0.95
Conthey (65)	Golden D.	1970–2013	1988	−8.3	5.45	0.43	0.78*
Conthey (65)	Gala	1975–2013	1988	−9.88	5.25	0.52	0.71*
Ain Taoujdate	Golden D.	1984–2013	1994	−12.35	5.97	0.73	0.73*		14.3	0.87
Sao Joaquim	Golden D.	1972–2013	–	–	11.05	1	0.37	2	9.33	0.92
Sao Joaquim	Gala	1972–2013	–	–	9.95	1	0.21	2	10.24	0.89
Sao Joaquim	Fuji	1976–2013	–	–	10.33	1	0.98*		7.92	0.95
Caçador	Golden D.	1984–2013	1988	−13.29	9.49	0.19	0.27	1	10.96	0.91
Caçador	Gala	1982–2013	1988	−14.75	8.8	0.47	0.33	3	10.78	0.91
Caçador	Fuji	1982–2013	–	–	11.2	1	0.52*		13.53	0.78

In the model posterior probability column, an asterisk indicates that the model is the one given by mBIC. If this is not the case, the model given by mBIC is indicated in the next column (mBIC model).