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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Anesthesiology. 2015 Dec;123(6):1301–1311. doi: 10.1097/ALN.0000000000000891

Table 2.

Four Models Describing the Association of AKI Severity with Postoperative Outcome

Mortality
Morbidity
In-hospital Death
Survival*
Hospital Length of Stay
Discharge
P Value OR (95% CI) P Value HR (95% CI)§ P Value β (95% CI) P Value HR (95% CI)||
Constant# <0.001 <0.001 9.75 (9.21–10.30)
Age, yr 0.002 0.99 (0.99 to 1.00) 0.39 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 0.30 −0.00 (−0.01 to 0.00) <0.001 1.00 (1.00 to 1.00)
Sex, female vs. male 0.19 0.90 (0.77 to 1.05) 0.67 0.97 (0.84 to 1.12) 0.08 0.09 (−0.01 to 0.20) 0.27 0.99 (0.97 to 1.01)
Charlson Comorbidity Index <0.001 1.18 (1.16 to 1.21) <0.001 1.13 (1.11 to 1.15) <0.001 0.17 (0.16 to 0.19) <0.001 0.96 (0.96 to 0.96)
Congestive heart failure <0.001 2.15 (1.77 to 2.61) <0.001 1.61 (1.36 to 1.89) <0.001 1.12 (0.91 to 1.33) <0.001 0.85 (0.81 to 0.89)
Preoperative hemoglobin, mg/dl <0.001 0.79 (0.76 to 0.86) <0.001 0.87 (0.84 to 0.90) <0.001 −0.38 (−0.40 to −0.35) <0.001 1.09 (1.08 to 1.10)
Preoperative creatinine, mg/dl** 0.08 0.90 (0.80 to 1.01) 0.55 0.97 (0.88 to 1.07) <0.001 −1.11 (−1.24 to −0.98) <0.001 1.20 (1.17 to 1.24)
Radiocontrast agent†† <0.001 1.90 (1.61 to 2.25) <0.001 1.48 (1.28 to 1.72) <0.001 0.72 (0.55 to 0.89) <0.001 0.87 (0.84 to 0.90)
Noncardiac vs. cardiac surgery <0.001 1.94 (1.48 to 2.55) 0.002 1.43 (1.14 to 1.78) <0.001 2.27 (1.99 to 2.54) 0.003 0.92 (0.87 to 0.97)
Risk factors of surgical AKI‡‡
 1 risk factor 0.93 1.01 (0.83 to 1.23) 0.69 1.04 (0.97 to 1.49) 0.86 −0.01 (−0.13 to 0.11) 0.14 1.02 (0.99 to 1.05)
 2 risk factors 0.09 1.23 (0.97 to 1.58) 0.10 1.20 (0.97 to 1.49) <0.001 1.04 (0.79 to 1.28) 0.15 0.96 (0.92 to 1.01)
 ≥ 3 risk factors <0.001 3.27 (2.28 to 4.69) <0.001 1.98 (1.49 to 2.63) <0.001 4.25 (3.55 to 4.96) <0.001 0.65 (0.56 to 0.74)
Postoperative ICU admission <0.001 2.54 (2.09 to 3.09) 0.004 1.31 (1.09 to 1.58) <0.001 4.83 (4.69 to 4.98) <0.001 0.57 (0.56 to 0.59)
Severity of AKI§§
 No F/U 0.001 0.60 (0.45 to 0.81) 0.35 0.87 (0.65 to 1.16) <0.001 −2.27 (−2.42 to −2.13) <0.001 1.70 (1.65 to 1.75)
 ΔCr 1–24% 0.49 0.92 (0.71 to 1.17) 0.19 0.85 (0.67 to 1.08) 0.001 0.28 (0.11 to 0.45) 0.81 1.00 (0.97 to 1.04)
 ΔCr 25–49% <0.001 1.74 (1.28 to 2.38) 0.04 1.36 (1.02 to 1.82) <0.001 2.44 (2.12 to 2.75) <0.001 0.80 (0.75 to 0.86)
 KDIGO stage 1 <0.001 2.21 (1.69 to 2.87) <0.001 1.55 (1.22 to 1.98) <0.001 2.88 (2.58 to 3.17) <0.001 0.77 (0.72 to 0.82)
 KDIGO stage 2 <0.001 3.82 (2.65 to 5.52) <0.001 2.24 (1.62 to 3.09) <0.001 5.12 (4.52 to 5.71) <0.001 0.65 (0.58 to 0.73)
 KDIGO stage 3 <0.001 15.64 (12.07 to 20.28) <0.001 4.46 (3.57 to 5.56) <0.001 10.87 (10.36 to 11.37) <0.001 0.38 (0.34 to 0.42)

On the left, a binary logistic regression model estimating the OR and a corresponding Cox proportional hazard regression model estimating the HR for all-cause in-hospital death; on the right, a robust regression model estimating the coefficients for hospital length of stay and a corresponding Cox proportional hazard model calculating the HR for hospital discharge.

*

A total of 37,772 cases were censored due to hospital discharge;

R2 = 0.35;

842 cases were censored due to in-hospital death;

§

HR for in-hospital death;

||

HR for discharge from hospital;

#

not applicable for Cox proportional hazard regression models;

**

International Systems of Units conversion factor: to convert creatinine to μM, multiply values by 76.3;

††

administered within 1 week before surgery;

‡‡

as described by Kheterpal et al.3;

§§

mutually exclusive categories of AKI severity by defnition of the KDIGO group.27

AKI = acute kidney injury; Cr = creatinine; HR = hazard ratio; ICU = intensive care unit; KDIGO = Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcome; no F/U = no follow-up; OR = odds ratio; SE = standard error.