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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Prev Med. 2015 Nov 7;81:445–450. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.10.015

Table 1.

Projected Diagnosed Diabetes Prevalence (%, ages 20+) & Prevalent Cases (Millions)

2010 2030* 2050*
Prevalence (% ages 20+) Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Women 9.62 13.14 14.11 19.87 14.98 16.39 24.44
Men 8.38 10.71 11.47 16.59 12.29 13.38 20.49
Total 9.02 11.97 12.83 18.29 13.67 14.93 22.52
Cases (millions)
Women 3.570 6.428 6.901 9.700 8.683 9.481 13.976
Men 2.655 4.974 5.326 7.691 6.801 7.389 11.189
Total 6.225 11.403 12.228 17.391 15.485 16.870 25.165
*

Scenario 1 assumes 2000 incidence; scenario 2 assumes 2005 incidence; scenario 3 assumes 2010 incidence.