Table 1.
2010 | 2030* | 2050* | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prevalence (% ages 20+) | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |
Women | 9.62 | 13.14 | 14.11 | 19.87 | 14.98 | 16.39 | 24.44 |
Men | 8.38 | 10.71 | 11.47 | 16.59 | 12.29 | 13.38 | 20.49 |
Total | 9.02 | 11.97 | 12.83 | 18.29 | 13.67 | 14.93 | 22.52 |
Cases (millions) | |||||||
Women | 3.570 | 6.428 | 6.901 | 9.700 | 8.683 | 9.481 | 13.976 |
Men | 2.655 | 4.974 | 5.326 | 7.691 | 6.801 | 7.389 | 11.189 |
Total | 6.225 | 11.403 | 12.228 | 17.391 | 15.485 | 16.870 | 25.165 |
Scenario 1 assumes 2000 incidence; scenario 2 assumes 2005 incidence; scenario 3 assumes 2010 incidence.