Table 3.

Average predicted probability (%) of hospitalisation within 28 days of community-acquired pneumonia diagnosis, by year

	Average predicted probability of hospitalisation (%)
Year	No adjustment	Adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities*	Full model†
1998–2000	58	57	57
2001–2003	70	67	68
2004–2006	80	76	78
2007–2008	84	80	81
2009–2010	89	85	86

*Comorbidities: ischaemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, dementia, chronic lung disease, connective tissue disease, peptic ulcer, liver disease, diabetes, cancer, leukaemia/lymphoma, severe renal disease, cerebrovascular disease, neurological disease, disorders of the immune mechanism, terminal illness.

†As for comorbidities, with addition of: recent carer, place of residence, vision problems, bed ulcer, underweight/nutritional replacement, incontinence/catheter, immunosuppressants (other than steroids), steroids, inhaled steroids, statins, antibiotics in previous 28 days, influenza vaccine.