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. 2015 Dec 7;66(642):e10–e15. doi: 10.3399/bjgp15X688117

Table 1.

Percentage change in cessation activity after the 2012 QOF revisions relative to beforehand

Outcome Relative to the period April 2004 to March 2012 Relative to the period April 2010 to March 2012
% change (95% CI) ARIMA model (pdq, PDQ) % change (95% CI) ARIMA model (pdq, PDQ)
Record of cessation advice 19.6 (7.9 to 31.4)
P<0.001
(102, 100) 18.9 (9.9 to 27.9)
P<0.001
(000, 100)
Referral to the NHS Stop Smoking Service 38.8 (15.2 to 62.4)
P<0.001
(101, 100) 38.1 (19.3 to 57.0)
P<0.001
(100, 100)
Prescription for pharmacotherapy −7.7 (−21.6 to 6.2)
P= 0.280
(100, 100) −13.8 (−21.0 to −6.5)
P<0.001
(100, 100)

ARIMA = autoregressive integrated moving average.