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. 2015 Nov 6;12(112):20150676. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2015.0676

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© 2015 The Authors.

Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Figure 6. — Simulations of an outbreak initiated in the GoM using parameters obtained from the best-fitting model. (a) Best-case scenario using the baseline reproduction number (R₀ = 0.95). (b) Worst-case scenario using the increased reproduction number (). Solid lines represent median values of 100 simulations and shaded regions represent the 2.5th–97.5th quantile range. Latitude bands are distinguished by colour.

Inline graphic — Simulations of an outbreak initiated in the GoM using parameters obtained from the best-fitting model. (a) Best-case scenario using the baseline reproduction number (R₀ = 0.95). (b) Worst-case scenario using the increased reproduction number (). Solid lines represent median values of 100 simulations and shaded regions represent the 2.5th–97.5th quantile range. Latitude bands are distinguished by colour.