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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Dec 11.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Geriatr Soc. 2015 Dec 11;63(12):2572–2579. doi: 10.1111/jgs.13785

Table 3. Predictors of Postoperative Mortality Up to One Year After Emergent Major Abdominal Surgery (Including Post-Operative Complications).

Characteristic 0-30-Day Hazard Ratio (95% CI) 0-180-Day Hazard Ratio (95% CI) 0-365-Day Hazard Ratio (95% CI)
Age
Age: 75-84 1.21 (0.66 - 2.23) 1.17 (0.72 – 1.90) 1.34 (0.85 - 2.11)
Age: 85+ 1.89 (1.00 – 3.55) 1.96 (1.18 – 3.26) 1.77 (1.08 - 2.90)
Comorbidities
Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) 0.77 (0.47 – 1.27) 0.98 (0.65 – 1.48) 0.89 (0.60 – 1.33)
Cancer 1.08 (0.68 – 1.71) 1.13 (0.78 – 1.65) 1.12 (0.78 – 1.61)
Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) 1.90 (1.10 – 3.24) 1.53 (0.98 – 2.38) 1.60 (1.05 - 2.44)
Diabetes 1.02 (0.62 – 1.68) 0.82 (0.54 – 1.25) 0.82 (0.55 – 1.22)
Renal Failure 1.43 (0.85 - 2.39) 1.83 (1.20 – 2.79) 1.50 (0.99 - 2.27)
Dementia 1.35 (0.72 - 2.53) 1.80 (1.08 – 3.01) 2.02 (1.24 – 3.31)
Hospital admit within 6 months prior to surgery 0.91 (0.58 – 1.50) 1.46 (0.98 – 2.16) 1.63 (1.12 - 2.38)
Activities of Daily Living (ADL): any dependence 1.34 (0.72 - 2.47) 1.26 (0.76 – 2.09) 1.05 (0.64 – 1.72)
Self-Reported Health: fair/poor 1.46 (0.87 - 2.45) 1.23 (0.81 – 1.87) 1.39 (0.94 - 2.07)
Any complications 7.16 (3.73 – 13.75) 3.57 (2.34 – 5.44) 3.45 (2.32 – 5.13)
Days between core interview and surgery 1.00 (1.00 – 1.00) 1.00 (1.00 – 1.00) 1.00 (1.00 – 1.00)

Base categories are Age: 65-74, Self-reported health: Excellent or very good, ADL: Independent.

Bold indicates statistical significance at p<0.05