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. 2015 Jul 7;27(1):281–292. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2015010062

Table 3.

Predictive performance of 24-hour proteinuria for graft failure in ROC analysis in Cohort 1

AUC P Value Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
Graft failure at 5 years after proteinuria measurement
 3 months post-transplant (n=914)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.64 (0.57–0.70) <0.001 10.1% (4.47–19.0%) 95.3% (93.7–96.7%) 19.5% 91.2%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 5.06% (1.40–12.5%) 99.5% (98.8–99.9%) 50.0% 91.1%
 1 year post-transplant (n=778)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.73 (0.66–0.80) <0.001 16.4% (8.15–28.1%) 95.5% (93.8–96.9%) 26.3% 92.6%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 4.92% (1.03–13.7%) 99.6% (98.8–99.9%) 60.0% 91.9%
 2 years post-transplant (n=731)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.71 (0.63–0.80) <0.001 20.0% (10.4–33.0%) 95.6% (93.7–97.0%) 30.6% 93.1%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 5.45% (1.14–15.1%) 99.4% (98.5–99.8%) 50.0% 92.2%
 5 years post-transplant (n=637)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.77 (0.70–0.83) <0.001 28.4% (18.0–40.7%) 96.4% (94.5–97.7%) 61.3% 91.0%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 4.48% (0.93–12.5%) 99.8% (99.0–100%) 100% 88.6%
Graft failure at 5 years after indication biopsy
 All biopsies (n=1335)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.66 (0.63–0.69) <0.001 31.7% (27.0–36.7%) 86.1% (83.5–88.4%) 51.5% 73.2%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 7.32% (4.88–10.5%) 97.9% (96.6–98.8%) 63.0% 69.6%
 Biopsies <3 months post-transplant (n=752)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.62 (0.57–0.67) <0.001 25.9% (19.4–33.3%) 87.2% (84.0–89.9%) 38.7% 78.4%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 2.41% (0.66–6.05%) 98.3% (96.7–99.2%) 35.7% 75.8%
 Biopsies > 3 months post-transplant (n=583)
  Proteinuria >1.0 g/24 h 0.71 (0.67–0.76) <0.001 36.5% (29.8–43.5%) 84.8% (80.0–88.7%) 63.6% 65.1%
  Proteinuria >3.0 g/24 h 10.8% (6.92–16.0%) 97.2% (94.5–98.8%) 75.0% 60.5%

PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.