(a) Reporting characteristic |
Definition |
Population |
Age, sex and important clinical characteristics are described |
Study site |
Geographic location, institution type and setting, and how patients were referred are described |
Prediction rule |
Clear and detailed descriptions of predictor variables and prediction rule are provided with a description of process to ensure accurate assessment of rule such as training |
Reliability |
Intra-observer or inter-observer reliability of prediction rule is described |
Outcome |
Clear and detailed definition of outcome is provided |
Results |
Estimates of predictive performance are presented with confidence intervals |
Follow up |
Clearly describes what happened to all enrolled patients |
(b) Design characteristic |
Level |
Definition |
Sample size |
Adequate |
At least 100 patients with outcome and 100 patients without outcome |
|
Inadequate |
Less than 100 patients with outcome or 100 patients without outcome |
Patient selection |
Consecutive |
All consecutive patients meeting inclusion criteria are selected |
|
Nonconsecutive |
Selection methods other than consecutive selection were used |
Disease spectrum |
Cohort |
Prediction is ascertained before outcome is determined |
|
Case-control |
Prediction is ascertained after outcome is determined |
Validation type |
Broad |
Validation in different settings, with different patients and by different clinicians |
|
Narrow |
Validation in similar settings, with similar patients or by similar clinicians |
|
Internal |
Validation using methods such as split-sample validation, cross-validation or bootstrap |
Assessment |
Blind |
Assessment of prediction without the knowledge of outcome and assessment of outcome without the knowledge of prediction |
|
Non-blind |
Assessment of prediction with the knowledge of outcome or assessment of outcome with the knowledge of prediction |
Verification |
Complete |
All predictions are verified using the same reference standard |
|
Partial |
Only a subset of predictions are verified |
|
Differential |
A subset of predictions are verified using different reference standard |
Data collection |
Prospective |
Data collection for validation study is planned before prediction and outcome are assessed |
|
Retrospective |
Prediction and outcome are assessed before data collection for validation starts |