Table 1.
Indicator | Approximate expected value1 | Likely interpretation if: | |
---|---|---|---|
Too high | Too low | ||
Proportion of overall burden found in children | 5%–20%, increasing with overall TB incidence | Over-diagnosis of childhood TB | Under-diagnosis of childhood TB |
Proportion of treated paediatric cases with a confirmed diagnosis | 20–30%, increasing with age and resources | Not enough children treated on clinical grounds | Not enough effort made to confirm the diagnosis |
Proportion of paediatric cases that are sputum smear-positive2 | 10% in 0–14 age group as a whole | Not enough children treated on clinical grounds | Not enough effort made to confirm the diagnosis |
Proportion paediatric cases that are under-5 years | Slightly over 50% | Too many young children being treated clinically | Only older children with ‘classic’ symptoms being treated or only children with confirmed disease treated |
Proportion of paediatric cases that are EPTB | 10% in 0–14 age group as a whole; 25% in 0–4 age group | Children with various clinical characteristics (such as cervical lymphadenopathy) being diagnosed with TB when many do not have TB | Only confirmed cases (which are frequently PTB) classified as TB |
TB: tuberculosis; EPTB: extrapulmonary tuberculosis
These expected values provide a rule-of-thumb or guide only. Enormous variability in these parameters has been described in studies across different settings
Since 2013, cases are now reported to WHO according to whether bacteriologically confirmed, which includes confirmation by smear microscopy, culture and GeneXpert