Table 2.
Values of the fitted input parameters, together with most affected outputs of the 1-year simulation compared with values in the literature (Orcau i Palau et al., 2015).
| Parameter | Fitted value | Most affected output | Simulation value1 | Literature value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial number of infected individuals | 4500 | Number of sick individuals | 78.5 | 78 |
| Immunodeficiency multiplication factor | 18.5 | Percentage of HIV/TB coinfection | 6.12% | 6.08% |
| Diabetes multiplication factor | 1.2 | Percentage of diabetic sick individuals | 6.22 % | 6.99 % |
| Risk-factors multiplication factor | 2.0 | Percentage of sick individuals with other risk factors | 40.97% | 40.5% |
| Probability that an infection affects own-collective | 90% | Percentage of immigrant sick individuals | 79.88% | 83.33% |
1Median of 30 simulations.
These values correspond to TB indicators of Ciutat Vella in 2013.