Table 1.

Model results for a 50 p minimum price per unit policy scenario

			Hazardous 18–24	Moderate all ages	Hazerdous all ages	Harmful all ages	England total
Consumption
Mean consumption per person per week			−0.70	−0.18	−1.49	−7.05	−0.84
Mean consumption per drinker per week			−0.70	−0.22	−1.49	−7.05	−1.05
% Change in mean consumption			−2.6 %	−3.8 %	−5.4 %	−10.1 %	−6.7 %
Baseline mean weekly consumption (units per person)			27.10	4.67	27.35	69.70	12.63
Change in volume of consumption (units per drinker per year)	On-trade	Beer	−43.80	−4.34	−54.49	−278.47	−37.80
		Wine	−16.37	−7.20	−27.18	−82.98	−17.60
		Spirit	−30.73	−4.78	−35.12	−114.11	−20.33
		RTD	0.09	0.00	0.00	−0.40	−0.03
	Off-trade	Beer	49.21	4.77	37.81	106.05	20.28
		Wine	0.46	0.00	0.56	0.56	0.17
		Spirit	3.15	0.22	0.60	1.06	0.37
		RTD	1.32	0.07	0.21	0.73	0.15
Purchasing
Baseline value of purchasing (£per drinker per year)			£1,538.59	£275.66	£1,070.38	£2,447.79	£633.77
Change in value of purchasing		Off-trade	£13.21	£6.60	£35.62	£67.37	£17.87
(£per drinker per year)		On-trade	£69.88	£6.46	£47.21	£127.92	£25.30
		Total	£83.09	£13.06	£82.82	£195.29	£43.17
Total change in retailer revenue		Off-trade	£17.92	£157.84	£319.58	£305.15	£784.33
(£m after duty & VAT)		On-trade	£37.01	£93.30	£232.59	£226.39	£553.13
		Total	£54.93	£251.14	£552.18	£531.54	£1,337.47
Total change in VAT & duty received (£m)			£3.97	£1.15	−£2.97	−£65.17	−£66.93
Health Conditions and Health Services
Deaths due to alcohol related diseases (per annum)		Chronic	−1	−27	−967	−1,759	−2,754
		Acute	−1	−89	−140	−76	−306
Alcohol related hospital admissions (per annum)		Chronic	−98	−9,202	−21,795	−52,017	−83,025
		Acute	−157	−4,562	−6,419	−3,611	−14,633
Monetary costs (£m)			−1	−57	−100	−144	−302
QALYs gained by policy			82	4,615	7,664	10,563	22,859
Alcohol Related Crime
Cange in the number Offences (per annum)			−4,068	−3,694	−17,381	−17,799	−42,523
Costs (£m)			−6	−6	−20	−21	49
QALYs gained by policy			79	87	308	350	774
Unemployment and Absences
Unemployment (per annum)		Volume	0	0	0	−25,905	−25,905
		Cost (£m)	0	0	0	−631	−631
Work absence (per annum)		Volume	−26,622	−89,813	−171,150	−179,457	−442,273
		Cost (£m)	−2	−9	−16	−18	−44
Total Costs
Total change in health care costs + value of QALYs (£m)			1	36	53	67	156
Total change in crime costs + value of QALY’s (£m)			−7	−8	−26	−28	−64
Total value of changes to employment (£m)			−2	−9	−16	−649	−674
Total (£m)			−8	19	11	−611	−583