Table 4. Mean trends of climate variables and occurrence probabilities (o.p.) of birds between 1950–2000 and 2050–2070 in the study area.
| /Trends | GLM analysis | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean ± SE | Min / max | Latitude (ß) | Longitude (ß) | Lat. x Long. (ß) | Elevation (ß) | Elevation2 (ß) | F5,486 | P | R2 | |
| Temperature (°C) | +2.02 ± 0.02 | —1.20 / +5.20 | -0.21 | - | 0.73 | 0.45 | -0.30 | 27.84 | <0.001 | 0.22 |
| Precipitation seasonality | -5.61 ± 0.25 | -3.38 / +5.50 | 0.42 | 1.56 | -1.39 | - | - | 351.10 | <0.001 | 0.78 |
| Precipitation (mm) | -1.67 ± 0.07 | -10.98 / +2.60 | 0.75 | -2.12 | 2.13 | 0.48 | -0.53 | 24.22 | <0.001 | 0.20 |
| Meadow pipit (c.s.) | +0.05 ± 0.01 | -0.27 / +0.49 | 0.89 | -1.37 | 1.14 | 1.04 | -0.57 | 85.03 | <0.001 | 0.47 |
| Chiffchaff (c.s.) | +0.10 ± 0.01 | -0.23 / +0.39 | 0.42 | - | 0.66 | 0.66 | -0.37 | 23.07 | <0.001 | 0.19 |
The results of GLM analyses on the effects of geographical location and elevation on changes are shown. Beta (ß) figures indicate the magnitude and sign of the partial relationships of predictor variables. Betas of non-significant effects are not shown.