Table 4.
Performance of the final pooled-data algorithm with a risk score of at least 2 when applied to site-specific data from Mombasa, Kilifi, Lilongwe and Durban.
Predictive ability | Mombasa, Kenya FSW |
Kilifi, Kenya MSM |
Lilongwe, Malawi STD clinic patients |
Durban, South Africa high-risk women |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sensitivity | 58.4% | 90.0% | 92.9% | 18.2% |
Specificity | 84.8% | 74.1% | 50.5% | 95.4% |
Positive predictive value | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Negative predictive value | 99.9% | 100.0% | 99.8% | 99.8% |
AUC | 0.77 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.61 |
AHI testing indicated | 15.3% | 26.1% | 50.2% | 4.6% |
AHI, acute HIV infection; AUC, area under the curve; STD, sexually transmitted diseases.