Table 3.
Dataset | Scenario | Time | Description | Prior distributions | Posterior distributions | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mode | 0.25 | 0.75 | |||||
I | 1: ((1,2),3) | T1 | Alps versus central EU + central Germany | Uniform (100–200,000) | 41,613 | 21,796 | 61,662 |
T2 | Central EU versus central Germany | Uniform (100–200,000) | 56,301 | 26,336 | 86,775 | ||
2: ((1,3),2) | T1 | Central Germany versus central EU + Alps | Uniform (100–200,000) | na | na | na | |
T2 | Central EU versus Alps | Uniform (100–200,000) | 124,996 | 94,646 | 156,475 | ||
3: ((2,3),1) | T1 | Central EU versus central Germany + Alps | Uniform (100–200,000) | na | na | na | |
T2 | Alps versus central Germany | Uniform (100–200,000) | 21,279 | na | 51,441 | ||
II | 1: ((1,2),3) | T1 | Iberia versus Italy + Alps | Uniform (0–40,000) | 5534 | 722 | 10,229 |
T2 | Italy versus Alps | Uniform (0–40,000) | 13,727 | 6421 | 21,004 | ||
2: ((1,3),2) | T1 | Alps versus Italy + Iberia | Uniform (0–40,000) | 10,402 | 5855 | 14,925 | |
T2 | Italy versus Iberia | Uniform (0–40,000) | 15,447 | 7722 | 23,101 | ||
3: ((2,3),1) | T1 | Italy versus Alps + Iberia | Uniform (0–40,000) | 12,116 | 7377 | 16,823 | |
T2 | Alps versus Iberia | Uniform (0–40,000) | 15,889 | 8271 | 23,482 | ||
III | 1: ((1,2),3) | T1 | Alps versus Italy + Sicily | Uniform (100–200,000) | 2665 | na | 1113 |
T2 | Italy versus Sicily | Uniform (100–200,000) | 13,252 | na | 29,679 | ||
2: ((1,3),2) | T1 | Sicily versus Italy + Alps | Uniform (100–200,000) | 18,012 | 8481 | 27,767 | |
T2 | Italy versus Alps | Uniform (100–200,000) | na | na | na | ||
3: ((2,3),1) | T1 | Italy versus Sicily + Alps | Uniform (100–200,000) | 16,782 | 6016 | 27,560 | |
T2 | Sicily versus Alps | Uniform (100‐200,000) | na | na | na |
na, negative values of posterior distribution parameters.