Table 6. Participants’ decisions and probability judgments for the 10 decision scenarios in Study 2 in which the posterior probability of both diseases according to a Bayesian analysis was 0.50 (i.e., the posterior probabilities predicted an indifference situation between both diseases).
Scenario | Previous diagnosis | Private information favors | Participants’ diagnosis according to their private information (%) | Participants’ average probability judgment | Average proportion of decisions according to private information | Average probability judgment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline Scenarios (no previous decision of the MD) | ||||||
31 | AP: A | S | 70.0 | 0.62 | ||
32 | AP: A, AP: S; AP: S | A | 40.0 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.63 |
33 | AP: A; AP: S; AP: A | S | 60.0 | 0.66 | ||
Scenarios where the decision of the MD favored participants’ private information | ||||||
34 | MD: A, AP: S; AP: S | A | 75.0 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
35 | AP: A; MD: S, AP: A | S | 60.0 | 0.69 | ||
Scenarios where the decision of the MD spoke against participants’ private information | ||||||
36 | MD: A | S | 37.5 | 0.62 | ||
37 | AP: A, MD: S; AP: S | A | 40.0 | 0.63 | ||
38 | AP: A, AP: S; MD: S | A | 30.0 | 0.66 | 0.39 | 0.65 |
39 | MD: A; AP: S; AP: A | S | 47.5 | 0.66 | ||
40 | AP: A; AP: S; MD: A | S | 37.5 | 0.68 |
Note. AP = Assistant physician; MD = medical director; A = appendicitis; S = sigmoid diverticulitis.