Figure 3(a-b).

(a) Mosquito Carrying Capacity By Case. In this diagram, time-dependent mosquito carrying capacities are plotted for each of the four phase cases: In-phase (red), Out-of-phase (blue), Rise-phase (green), Fall-phase (cyan). The black vertical line at day 91 marks the time at which the Greater Bairam begins for all cases and for both the IBM and the numerical model. (b) Mosquitoes Produced by Numerical Model. The number of mosquitoes (both uninfected and infected) produced by the numerical model closely follows the mosquito carrying capacity, albeit with a two week lag which mimics real Culex mosquito biology. The same behavior is present in the IBM (not shown).