Table 3.
Measure of Model Performance: Development, Internal Validation, and External Validation
| Model | N | Percent of Population | Hosmer- Lemeshow GOF statisticsc X2, df, p | Area Under the Receiver Operator Curve (C) | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development | 65,069 | 60% | 8.72, 8, 0.37 | 0.801 | 
| Validation | 43,379 | 40% | 6.76, 8, 0.56 | 0.765 | 
| Combined | 108,448 | 100% | 7.09, 8, 0.53 | 0.772 | 
| External Validation | ||||
| Martin Cohort | 139,094 | 100% | 6.71, 8, 0.57 | 0.803 | 
| Angus Cohort | 523,645 | 100% | 5.14, 8, 0.74 | 0.838 | 
| Sepsis severity score | 108,448 | 100% | 14.4, 8, 0.07 | 0.709 | 
GOF = goodness of fit; was performed on a random sample of 1000 observations, p>.05 indicates a good fit of the model to the data