Table 2. Summary results of model selection process.
| Variable | Variablesa | DIC |
|---|---|---|
| model1 | avtemp | 132594 |
| model2 | devtemp | 136845 |
| model3 | rainfall | –b |
| model4 | mavhmd | 136718 |
| model5 | mavwspeed | 136831 |
| model6 | hsun | 136831 |
| model7 | avtemp+devtemp | 130457 |
| model8 | avtemp+devtemp+mavhmd | 130465 |
| model9 | avtemp+devtemp+mavwspeed+hsun | –b |
| model10(spatial structure) | avtemp+devtemp | 130376 |
| model11(spatial+random effcts of avtemp) | avtemp+devtemp | 129858 |
athis climatic variable related polynomial terms and lag effects terms also included in the model.
bmodel was not converged and can’t be estimated.