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. 2016 Jan 26;16:77. doi: 10.1186/s12889-016-2750-5

Table 7.

Gain in Average Life Expectancy (ALE) Amongst Smokers in the Population Under Various Smoking Reduction Scenarios (study period 2012-13)

Scenario Gain in ALE relative to base scenario (95 % CI)
Men Women
Base scenario - -
0 % prevalence <30 years 0.63(-0.66,1.72) 0.85 (0.79,0.91)
10 % prevalence <30 years 0.43 (0.39,0.47) 0.73 (0.61, 0.91)
0 % prevalence <40 years 1.63(1.46,1.75) 1.82 (1.61,1.93)
10 % prevalence <40 years 1.06 (1.02, 1.10) 1.12 (0.96, 1.18)
0 % prevalence <50 years 2.61 (2.48, 2.70) 2.84 (2.66, 2.96)
10 % prevalence <50 years 1.52 (1.44, 1.57) 1.54 (1.42, 1.66)
0 % prevalence <60 years 3.40 (2.85, 3.77) 3.74 (3.24, 4.32)
10 % prevalence <60 years 1.84 (1.79, 1.93) 1.84 (1.71, 1.97)
0 % prevalence <70 years 4.03 (3.83, 4.23) 4.52 (4.25, 4.94)
10 % prevalence <70 years 2.02 (0.49, 4.03) 1.99 (1.85, 2.12)
0 % prevalence <80 years 4.46 (4.19, 4.67) 5.27 (5.20, 5.35)
10 % prevalence <80 years 2.04 (0.63, 3.46) 2.00 (1.86, 2.15)
10 % prevalence in entire population 2.08 (1.92,2.30) 2.05 (-0.23, 4.48)
0 % prevalence in entire population 4.59 (3.84,5.34) 5.55 (5.47,5.62)