Table 2. The number and percentage horizon scanning topics that deal with the following topics or issues: climate change; socio-political issues or policy; human demographic issues (population size etc.); human related systems (including agriculture, human settlements, human-dominated landscapes, infrastructure etc.); freshwater systems (e.g., freshwater, rivers, water market etc.); marine systems; ecosystem services; cross-boundary issues (political boundaries, neighboring countries etc.); descriptive questions: those that describe and study problem/threat; proactive questions: questions that deal with solutions and action to address problem.
Israel horizon scanning1 | UK (2008) horizon scanning2 | Global (2010) horizon scanning 3 | Global (2011) horizon scanning4 | Global (2012) horizon scanning5 | Global (2013) horizon scanning6 | Global (2014) horizon scanning7 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Focus of project | Biodiversity conservation | Biodiversity conservation | Biodiversity conservation | Biodiversity conservation | Biodiversity conservation | Biodiversity conservation | Biodiversity conservation |
Number of topics selected | 8 | 25 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Climate change | 2 (25%) | 11 (44%) | 7 (46.7%) | 6 (40%) | 5 (33.3%) | 3 (20%) | 4 (26.7%) |
Socio-political issues | 3 (37.55%) | 10 (40%) | 1 (6.7%) | 3 (20%) | 1 (6.7%) | 0 (0%) | 5 (33.3%) |
Human demography | 1 (12.5%) | 2 (8%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (6.7%) | 1 (6.7%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Human related systems | 5 (62.5%) | 7 (28%) | 6 (40%) | 6 (40%) | 8 (53.3%) | 7 (46.7%) | 6 (40%) |
Freshwater systems | 1 (12.5%) | 5 (20%) | 4 (26.7%) | 4 (26.7%) | 4 (26.7%) | 4 (26.7%) | 2 (13.3%) |
Marine systems | 3 (37.5%) | 7 (28%) | 8 (53.3%) | 4 (26.7%) | 6 (40%) | 4 (26.7%) | 4 (26.7%) |
Ecosystem services | 0 (0%) | 3 (12%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (6.7%) | 0 (0%) |
Cross-boundary issues | 1 (12.5%) | 1 (4%) | 1 (6.7%) | 1 (6.7%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (6.7%) | 3 (20%) |
Descriptive: describe and study problem/threat | 4 (50%) | 21 (84%) | 12 (80%) | 13 (86.7%) | 9 (60%) | 5 (33.3%) | 7 (46.7%) |
Proactive: deal with solutions/actions to address problem | 4 (50%) | 8 (32%) | 6 (40%) | 2 (13.3%) | 7 (46.7%) | 10 (66.7%) | 9 (60%) |
Sources (Table 2):
1. This paper.
2. Sutherland WJ, Bailey MJ, Bainbridge IP, Brereton T, Dick JTA, Drewitt J, et al. (2008) Future novel threats and opportunities facing UK biodiversity identified by horizon scanning. J Appl Ecol 45: 821–833.
3. Sutherland WJ, Clout M, Cote IM, Daszak P, Depledge MH, Fellman L, et al. (2010) A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2010. Trends Ecol Evol 25: 1–7.
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